Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
$44,341,926 Vol.
Other/Multiple 99.9%
Paul Le Roux <1%
Gavin Wood <1%
Nick Szabo <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
Paul Le Roux
$2,570,248 Vol.
No
Paul Le Roux
$2,570,248 Vol.
No
Gavin Wood
$1,131,682 Vol.
No
Gavin Wood
$1,131,682 Vol.
No
Nick Szabo
$2,873,063 Vol.
No
Nick Szabo
$2,873,063 Vol.
No
Craig Wright
$2,409,731 Vol.
No
Craig Wright
$2,409,731 Vol.
No
Len Sassaman
$4,617,165 Vol.
No
Len Sassaman
$4,617,165 Vol.
No
Hal Finney
$2,343,414 Vol.
No
Hal Finney
$2,343,414 Vol.
No
Dorian Nakamoto
$1,702,882 Vol.
No
Dorian Nakamoto
$1,702,882 Vol.
No
Wei Dai
$2,014,734 Vol.
No
Wei Dai
$2,014,734 Vol.
No
Adam Back
$7,341,787 Vol.
No
Adam Back
$7,341,787 Vol.
No
Gavin Andresen
$1,308,173 Vol.
No
Gavin Andresen
$1,308,173 Vol.
No
David Kleiman
$3,115,366 Vol.
No
David Kleiman
$3,115,366 Vol.
No
Elon Musk
$3,068,927 Vol.
No
Elon Musk
$3,068,927 Vol.
No
Jed McCaleb
$1,502,080 Vol.
No
Jed McCaleb
$1,502,080 Vol.
No
Other/Multiple
$3,874,666 Vol.
Yes
Other/Multiple
$3,874,666 Vol.
Yes
Shinichi Mochizuki
$1,911,079 Vol.
No
Shinichi Mochizuki
$1,911,079 Vol.
No
Vili Lehdonvirta
$2,556,930 Vol.
No
Vili Lehdonvirta
$2,556,930 Vol.
No
Rules
If the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin.
If Vili Lehdonvirta and another individual(s) are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "No".
If the documentary is not released by October 15, this market will resolve to "No".
Created At: Oct 3, 2024, 10:40 PM
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$44,341,926 Vol.
Who will HBO doc identify as Satoshi?
Other/Multiple 99.9%
Paul Le Roux <1%
Gavin Wood <1%
Nick Szabo <1%
Paul Le Roux
No
Gavin Wood
No
Nick Szabo
No
Craig Wright
No
Len Sassaman
No
Hal Finney
No
Dorian Nakamoto
No
Wei Dai
No
Adam Back
No
Gavin Andresen
No
David Kleiman
No
Elon Musk
No
Jed McCaleb
No
Other/Multiple
Yes
Shinichi Mochizuki
No
Vili Lehdonvirta
No
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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