BTC predictions & odds

Finance·MicroStrategy

Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?

$509K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

10%

$509K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin above ___ on September 24?

$131K Vol.

$416K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

100%

74,000

$131K Vol.

$416K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

World

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?

$85.1K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

14%

$85.1K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

$199K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

72%

$199K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin above ___ on September 23?

$412K Vol.

$238K today

$826K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

100%

80,000

$412K Vol.

$238K today

$826K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Finance·MicroStrategy

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 22-28?

$0 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

50%

$0 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin above ___ on September 25?

$149K Vol.

$420K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

100%

76,000

$149K Vol.

$420K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin above ___ on September 26?

$82.0K Vol.

$380K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

100%

72,000

$82.0K Vol.

$380K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin price on September 24?

$41.2K Vol.

$234K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

53%

>86,000

$41.2K Vol.

$234K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin price on September 23?

$80.7K Vol.

$303K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

96%

>84,000

$80.7K Vol.

$303K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin above ___ on September 22, 6PM ET?

$184 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 minutes

100%

85,400

$184 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 minutes

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin above ___ on September 27?

$44.8K Vol.

$384K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

100%

70,000

$44.8K Vol.

$384K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin above ___ on September 29?

$48 Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

98%

76,000

$48 Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin price on September 25?

$11.7K Vol.

$141K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

28%

86,000-88,000

$11.7K Vol.

$141K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin above ___ on September 28?

$24.1K Vol.

$233K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

99%

76,000

$24.1K Vol.

$233K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin price on September 26?

$7.0K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

26%

86,000-88,000

$7.0K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin price on September 27?

$2.3K Vol.

$74.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

25%

86,000-88,000

$2.3K Vol.

$74.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin price on September 29?

$0 Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

19%

86,000-88,000

$0 Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Crypto·Bitcoin

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

$0 Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

50%

$0 Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like BTC.

Polymarket currently hosts 515 active markets for BTC that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Bitcoin above ___ on September 23?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on BTC predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for BTC shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Bitcoin above ___ on September 23?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the BTC prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the BTC prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

BTC predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of BTC prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do BTC markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top BTC prediction?

Why use Polymarket for BTC predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s BTC odds?

Can I track BTC predictions without trading?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of BTC prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do BTC markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top BTC prediction?

Why use Polymarket for BTC predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s BTC odds?

Can I track BTC predictions without trading?

How do I get started with BTC markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

BTC predictions & odds