Market icon

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files?

$1,656,423 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual between July 16 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only previously unreleased files which contain novel material not previously available to the public will qualify. Documents that are merely re-released, have had redactions removed, repackaged, or newly publicized versions of already available information do not qualify.

Any mention of the listed individual in connection with Jeffrey Epstein will qualify, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,656,423
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jul 17, 2025, 10:49 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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$1,656,423 Vol.

Market icon

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files?

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Ehud Barak

$106,018 Vol.

27%

Tony Blair

$22,677 Vol.

19%

David Koch

$5,776 Vol.

16%

Stephen Hawking

$142,644 Vol.

15%

Elon Musk

$71,651 Vol.

12%

Sean Combs

$4,265 Vol.

12%

Leonardo DiCaprio

$6,121 Vol.

11%

Alec Baldwin

$9,722 Vol.

10%

Chuck Schumer

$4,952 Vol.

9%

Quentin Tarantino

$7,635 Vol.

8%

Barack Obama

$239,282 Vol.

8%

Joe Biden

$39,237 Vol.

7%

Ellen Degeneres

$5,442 Vol.

7%

Al Gore

$15,039 Vol.

7%

Oprah Winfrey

$23,222 Vol.

6%

Tom Hanks

$14,306 Vol.

6%

Piers Morgan

$2,781 Vol.

6%

Jamie Dimon

$32,486 Vol.

5%

Larry Page

$5,064 Vol.

5%

Robert Downey Jr.

$2,886 Vol.

5%

Anderson Cooper

$4,559 Vol.

4%

Justin Trudeau

$6,509 Vol.

4%

Stephen Colbert

$5,548 Vol.

4%

Jay-Z

$45,069 Vol.

4%

Henry Kissinger

$32,095 Vol.

4%

Jimmy Kimmel

$14,462 Vol.

3%

Bernie Sanders

$22,299 Vol.

3%

Rachel Maddow

$5,011 Vol.

3%

Kirsten Gillibrand

$1,773 Vol.

2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$24,247 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$1,656,423
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Jul 17, 2025, 10:49 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.