Name: Who will attend Trump inauguration?
Start: 2024-11-06T23:15:11.181131Z
End: 2025-01-20T12:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This is a maket group over who will attend the Trump inauguration scheduled for January 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Zuckerberg attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Mark Zuckerberg

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Benjamin Netanyahu

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vladimir Putin

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelensky attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Volodymyr Zelensky

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caitlyn Jenner attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Caitlyn Jenner

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Stephen Baldwin attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Stephen Baldwin

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chris Christie attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Chris Christie

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Kamala Harris

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the former president of Brazil Jair Bolsonaro attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Jair Bolsonaro

This market will resolve to "Yes" if CEO of TikTok Shou Chew attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Shou Chew (TikTok CEO)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Brady attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Tom Brady

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Joe Biden

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Barack Obama

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brad Garlinghouse attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Brad Garlinghouse

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Giorgia Meloni attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Giorgia Meloni

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Bill Clinton

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hillary Clinton attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Hillary Clinton

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Eric Adams

This market will resolve to "Yes" if George W. Bush attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

George W. Bush

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nancy Pelosi attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Nancy Pelosi

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Carter attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Jimmy Carter

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michelle Obama attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Michelle Obama

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Sam Altman 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rudy Giuliani attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Rudy Giuliani

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nayib Bukele attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Nayib Bukele

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Viktor Orban attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Viktor Orban

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Xi Jinping

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Rogan attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Joe Rogan

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Elon Musk

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony.

The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Javier Milei

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump golfs on over 25% of days between January 20 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to https://trumpgolftrack.com as of January 2, 2026, 12:00 PM. However, definitive photo or video evidence confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to supplement the tally if the trumpgolftrack.com tally is incomplete. 

 


Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits North Korea between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit Florida in 2026?

Donald Trump is set to make an appearance at the 48th Annual Kennedy Center Honors, which is scheduled to air on December 23, 2025 (https://www.npr.org/2025/12/05/nx-s1-5607173/kennedy-center-honors-trump).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at the Kennedy Center Honors event on December 7, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "King" or "Queen" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

The UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 event is scheduled for Saturday, December 6, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends UFC 323. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond December 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump attend UFC 323?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky are photographed or videotaped together, in the same frame, between August 6, 5:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing.

The resolution source for this market will be the images or video of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky together.

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that Donald Trump has visited visited Little Saint James by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place Trump on the island.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Benjamin Netanyahu between November 18 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues a presidential veto of any bill by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official congressional records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un all meet with Donald Trump between October 24, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any federal jurisdiction of the United States and/or the District of Columbia formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any former member(s) of the House Select Committee to Investigate the January 6th Attack on the U.S. Capitol by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

This includes the following individuals: Bennie Thompson, Liz Cheney, Zoe Lofgren, Adam Schiff, Pete Aguilar, Stephanie Murphy, Jamie Raskin, Elaine Luria, Adam Kinzinger

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from U.S. governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump charges Member of January 6 committee? 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Eric Adams to his administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Eric Adams join Trump administration by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro physically visits the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any reason by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify. 

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Maduro visit the White House in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2025?

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".  

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly claims that any of the moon landings were faked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The claim must come directly from Trump via a verified social media account, official public statement, or during a recorded interview, speech, or rally. Indirect remarks, jokes, or quotes taken out of context will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used to confirm the legitimacy of such statements.

Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump announce their intention to divorce between December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by December 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump , and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Trump divorce in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of $TRUMP (https://solscan.io/token/6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN), either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy $TRUMP in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the next person Donald Trump appoints to the National Security Advisor position by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on Trump's first announcement - if Trump announces another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

This market refers to the first permanent National Security Advisor following Mike Waltz's departure from the role; any acting advisor or otherwise temporary advisor will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Michael Flynn be next National Security Advisor?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Ali Khamenei speak directly to one another between June 26, 7:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any conversation that occurs directly between Donald Trump and Ali Khamenei will qualify, regardless of whether it is over the phone, videocall, or in person. The conversation must be voice-based, not text-based.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the governments of Iran and the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025? 

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a talk about the economy in Northeast Pennsylvania on December 9, 2025 (https://x.com/WVIATVFM/status/1996616358092554647).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance in Northeast Pennsylvania on December 9, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

Eric Adams
$28,476 Vol.
Yes

Joe Rogan
$274,505 Vol.
Yes

Giorgia Meloni
$22,630 Vol.
Yes

Viktor Orban
$35,885 Vol.
No

Shou Chew (TikTok CEO)
$23,225 Vol.
Yes

Nayib Bukele
$12,964 Vol.
No

Brad Garlinghouse
$21,909 Vol.
Yes

Rudy Giuliani
$77,551 Vol.
Yes

Sam Altman
$17,834 Vol.
Yes

Caitlyn Jenner
$495,366 Vol.
No

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$102,658 Vol.
No

Benjamin Netanyahu
$363,574 Vol.
No

Mark Zuckerberg
$229,224 Vol.
Yes

Joe Biden
$780,832 Vol.
Yes

Barack Obama
$219,704 Vol.
Yes

Michelle Obama
$291,428 Vol.
No

Kamala Harris
$233,328 Vol.
Yes

Bill Clinton
$105,425 Vol.
Yes

Hillary Clinton
$144,482 Vol.
Yes

George W. Bush
$71,336 Vol.
Yes

Nancy Pelosi
$152,286 Vol.
No

Jimmy Carter
$423,045 Vol.
No

Vladimir Putin
$802,150 Vol.
No

Volodymyr Zelensky
$479,826 Vol.
No

Xi Jinping
$1,460,457 Vol.
No

Elon Musk
$97,602 Vol.
Yes

Javier Milei
$70,834 Vol.
Yes

Stephen Baldwin
$2,362 Vol.
No

Chris Christie
$8,150 Vol.
No

Jair Bolsonaro
$29,359 Vol.
No

Tom Brady
$6,205 Vol.
No

Market Context

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

Rules

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

Market Context

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

About

Related

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

Eric Adams$28,476 Vol.Yescircle check

Joe Rogan$274,505 Vol.Yescircle check

Giorgia Meloni$22,630 Vol.Yescircle check

Viktor Orban$35,885 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Shou Chew (TikTok CEO)$23,225 Vol.Yescircle check

Nayib Bukele$12,964 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Brad Garlinghouse$21,909 Vol.Yescircle check

Rudy Giuliani$77,551 Vol.Yescircle check

Sam Altman $17,834 Vol.Yescircle check

Caitlyn Jenner$495,366 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$102,658 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Benjamin Netanyahu$363,574 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Mark Zuckerberg$229,224 Vol.Yescircle check

Joe Biden$780,832 Vol.Yescircle check

Barack Obama$219,704 Vol.Yescircle check

Michelle Obama$291,428 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Kamala Harris$233,328 Vol.Yescircle check

Bill Clinton$105,425 Vol.Yescircle check

Hillary Clinton$144,482 Vol.Yescircle check

George W. Bush$71,336 Vol.Yescircle check

Nancy Pelosi$152,286 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Jimmy Carter$423,045 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Vladimir Putin$802,150 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Volodymyr Zelensky$479,826 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Xi Jinping$1,460,457 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Elon Musk$97,602 Vol.Yescircle check

Javier Milei$70,834 Vol.Yescircle check

Stephen Baldwin$2,362 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Chris Christie$8,150 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Jair Bolsonaro$29,359 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Tom Brady$6,205 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

Rules

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

Market Context

Who will attend Trump inauguration?

About

Related

Eric Adams
$28,476 Vol.
Yes

Joe Rogan
$274,505 Vol.
Yes

Giorgia Meloni
$22,630 Vol.
Yes

Viktor Orban
$35,885 Vol.
No

Shou Chew (TikTok CEO)
$23,225 Vol.
Yes

Nayib Bukele
$12,964 Vol.
No

Brad Garlinghouse
$21,909 Vol.
Yes

Rudy Giuliani
$77,551 Vol.
Yes

Sam Altman
$17,834 Vol.
Yes

Caitlyn Jenner
$495,366 Vol.
No

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$102,658 Vol.
No

Benjamin Netanyahu
$363,574 Vol.
No

Mark Zuckerberg
$229,224 Vol.
Yes

Joe Biden
$780,832 Vol.
Yes

Barack Obama
$219,704 Vol.
Yes

Michelle Obama
$291,428 Vol.
No

Kamala Harris
$233,328 Vol.
Yes

Bill Clinton
$105,425 Vol.
Yes

Hillary Clinton
$144,482 Vol.
Yes

George W. Bush
$71,336 Vol.
Yes

Nancy Pelosi
$152,286 Vol.
No

Jimmy Carter
$423,045 Vol.
No

Vladimir Putin
$802,150 Vol.
No

Volodymyr Zelensky
$479,826 Vol.
No

Xi Jinping
$1,460,457 Vol.
No

Elon Musk
$97,602 Vol.
Yes

Javier Milei
$70,834 Vol.
Yes

Stephen Baldwin
$2,362 Vol.
No

Chris Christie
$8,150 Vol.
No

Jair Bolsonaro
$29,359 Vol.
No

Tom Brady
$6,205 Vol.
No