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Which countries will counter tariff the US in April?

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Which countries will counter tariff the US in April?

$409,351 Vol.

Apr 30, 2025
Polymarket

$409,351 Vol.

Polymarket

Brazil

$12,931 Vol.

No

Israel

$102,779 Vol.

No

Taiwan

$203,082 Vol.

No

Vietnam

$8,963 Vol.

No

Argentina

$4,661 Vol.

No

China

$36,697 Vol.

Yes

Canada

$10,981 Vol.

No

Mexico

$5,172 Vol.

No

Japan

$7,415 Vol.

No

South Korea

$7,844 Vol.

No

India

$8,825 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country imposes any new or increased tariffs on the United States between April 4, 5:30 PM ET, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the U.S. will qualify. For example, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the listed country) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the listed country, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country imposes any new or increased tariffs on the United States between April 4, 5:30 PM ET, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting the U.S. will qualify. For example, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the listed country) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the listed country, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$409,351
End Date
Apr 30, 2025
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2025, 6:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country imposes any new or increased tariffs on the United States between April 4, 5:30 PM ET, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the U.S. will qualify. For example, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the listed country) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the listed country, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country imposes any new or increased tariffs on the United States between April 4, 5:30 PM ET, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the U.S. will qualify. For example, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the listed country) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the listed country, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country imposes any new or increased tariffs on the United States between April 4, 5:30 PM ET, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting the U.S. will qualify. For example, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the listed country) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the listed country, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$409,351
End Date
Apr 30, 2025
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2025, 6:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country imposes any new or increased tariffs on the United States between April 4, 5:30 PM ET, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the U.S. will qualify. For example, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the listed country) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the listed country, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which countries will counter tariff the US in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "China" at 100%, followed by "Brazil" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which countries will counter tariff the US in April?" has generated $409.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which countries will counter tariff the US in April?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which countries will counter tariff the US in April?" is "China" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brazil" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which countries will counter tariff the US in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.