Trader consensus heavily favors Maxx Crosby remaining with the Las Vegas Raiders at 76.3% implied probability, driven by his three-year, $106.5 million extension signed in March 2025 that secures him through 2027 with a $30 million base salary and significant guarantees for 2026. A blockbuster trade to the Baltimore Ravens—agreed upon for 2026 and 2027 first-round picks—fell apart on March 10 due to physical concerns tied to prior ankle issues and a shutdown last season, prompting Crosby to resume rehab at the Raiders' facility as brass reconciled, affirming his long-term commitment amid the team's $35.8 million cap hit. Lingering interest from the Cincinnati Bengals, fueled by recent reports of improved trade feasibility, elevates them to 9.8%, while Seattle Seahawks at 5.7% reflect occasional monitoring; however, no new deals have materialized post-free agency, solidifying Raiders' edge rusher as a cornerstone despite cap pressures heading into the draft.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLas Vegas Raiders 76.4%
Cincinnati Bengals 9.8%
Baltimore Ravens 3.7%
Dallas Cowboys 2.6%
$98,095 Vol.
$98,095 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
76%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Baltimore Ravens
4%
Dallas Cowboys
3%
New England Patriots
2%
Chicago Bears
2%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Minnesota Vikings
1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
New York Jets
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders 76.4%
Cincinnati Bengals 9.8%
Baltimore Ravens 3.7%
Dallas Cowboys 2.6%
$98,095 Vol.
$98,095 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
76%
Cincinnati Bengals
10%
Baltimore Ravens
4%
Dallas Cowboys
3%
New England Patriots
2%
Chicago Bears
2%
San Francisco 49ers
1%
Los Angeles Chargers
1%
Detroit Lions
1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
1%
Atlanta Falcons
1%
Minnesota Vikings
1%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
6%
New York Jets
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Las Vegas Raiders and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Maxx Crosby remaining with the Las Vegas Raiders at 76.3% implied probability, driven by his three-year, $106.5 million extension signed in March 2025 that secures him through 2027 with a $30 million base salary and significant guarantees for 2026. A blockbuster trade to the Baltimore Ravens—agreed upon for 2026 and 2027 first-round picks—fell apart on March 10 due to physical concerns tied to prior ankle issues and a shutdown last season, prompting Crosby to resume rehab at the Raiders' facility as brass reconciled, affirming his long-term commitment amid the team's $35.8 million cap hit. Lingering interest from the Cincinnati Bengals, fueled by recent reports of improved trade feasibility, elevates them to 9.8%, while Seattle Seahawks at 5.7% reflect occasional monitoring; however, no new deals have materialized post-free agency, solidifying Raiders' edge rusher as a cornerstone despite cap pressures heading into the draft.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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