Name: What will Powell say during January Press Conference?
Start: 2024-12-19T21:29:26.282952Z
End: 2025-01-31T12:00:00Z

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This is a market group over what Jerome Powell will say during his January 29 press conference.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "AI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Artificial Intelligence (e.g. "OpenAI" would count).

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

AI/Artificial Intelligence

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "good afternoon" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.


Good Afternoon

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "tariff" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "tariff" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a tax or duty imposed by a government on imported goods.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Tariff

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "inflation" 40 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "inflation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to increases in costs of goods and services.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Inflation 40+ times

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "Trump" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Trump

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "inflation" 50 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "inflation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to increases in costs of goods and services.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Inflation 50+ times

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "growth" 8 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "growth" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to in production, income, and overall economic activity.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Growth 8+ times

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "cut" 7 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "cut" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a reduction.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Cut 7+ times

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "price" 15 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "price" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the value assigned to a good, service, or asset.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Price 15+ times

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "tariff" 5 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "tariff" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a tax or duty imposed by a government on imported goods.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Tariff 5+ times

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "unemployment" 8 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "unemployment" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to jobless individuals actively seeking but not employed.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Unemployment 8+ times

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts).

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Crypto/Bitcoin

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "deport" or "deportation" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "deport" or "deportation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to expelling (a foreigner) from a country, typically on the grounds of illegal status or for having committed a crime.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Deport/Deportation

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "immigrant" or "immigration" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "immigrant" or "immigration" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to coming to live permanently in a foreign country.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Immigrant/Immigration

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "inflation" 60 or more times during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "inflation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to increases in costs of goods and services.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

Inflation 60+ times

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "DeepSeek" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "DeepSeek" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Chinese AI company.

If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

DeepSeek

Powell mentions

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 19, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.  

Compound words will not count.

If no such statement happens by April, 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

What will Powell say during March Press Conference?

This is a market on predictions regarding Jerome Powell's statements during the December Federal Reserve meeting.

What will Powell say during December Press Conference?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Cloudflare may classify as Critical.

Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.

If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. 

After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

Good Afternoon
$128,032 Vol.
Yes

Tariff
$27,598 Vol.
Yes

Trump
$145,674 Vol.
No

AI/Artificial Intelligence
$13,783 Vol.
Yes

Inflation 40+ times
$111,232 Vol.
Yes

Inflation 50+ times
$82,928 Vol.
No

Inflation 60+ times
$67,824 Vol.
No

Growth 8+ times
$24,857 Vol.
No

Cut 7+ times
$22,133 Vol.
No

Price 15+ times
$39,197 Vol.
Yes

Tariff 5+ times
$43,685 Vol.
Yes

Unemployment 8+ times
$19,904 Vol.
Yes

Crypto/Bitcoin
$76,878 Vol.
Yes

Deport/Deportation
$39,279 Vol.
No

Immigrant/Immigration
$13,544 Vol.
Yes

DeepSeek
$28,280 Vol.
No

Market Context

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

Rules

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

Market Context

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

About

Related

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

Good Afternoon$128,032 Vol.Yescircle check

Tariff$27,598 Vol.Yescircle check

Trump$145,674 Vol.Nocircle xmark

AI/Artificial Intelligence$13,783 Vol.Yescircle check

Inflation 40+ times$111,232 Vol.Yescircle check

Inflation 50+ times$82,928 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Inflation 60+ times$67,824 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Growth 8+ times$24,857 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Cut 7+ times$22,133 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Price 15+ times$39,197 Vol.Yescircle check

Tariff 5+ times$43,685 Vol.Yescircle check

Unemployment 8+ times$19,904 Vol.Yescircle check

Crypto/Bitcoin$76,878 Vol.Yescircle check

Deport/Deportation$39,279 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Immigrant/Immigration$13,544 Vol.Yescircle check

DeepSeek$28,280 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

Rules

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

Market Context

What will Powell say during January Press Conference?

About

Related

Good Afternoon
$128,032 Vol.
Yes

Tariff
$27,598 Vol.
Yes

Trump
$145,674 Vol.
No

AI/Artificial Intelligence
$13,783 Vol.
Yes

Inflation 40+ times
$111,232 Vol.
Yes

Inflation 50+ times
$82,928 Vol.
No

Inflation 60+ times
$67,824 Vol.
No

Growth 8+ times
$24,857 Vol.
No

Cut 7+ times
$22,133 Vol.
No

Price 15+ times
$39,197 Vol.
Yes

Tariff 5+ times
$43,685 Vol.
Yes

Unemployment 8+ times
$19,904 Vol.
Yes

Crypto/Bitcoin
$76,878 Vol.
Yes

Deport/Deportation
$39,279 Vol.
No

Immigrant/Immigration
$13,544 Vol.
Yes

DeepSeek
$28,280 Vol.
No