What will happen before GTA VI?
$12,398,699 Vol.
Asked by
Complex
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
GPT-6 released
$177,912 Vol.
73%
GPT-6 released
$177,912 Vol.
73%
New Playboi Carti Album
$578,022 Vol.
68%
New Playboi Carti Album
$578,022 Vol.
68%
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
$377,713 Vol.
64%
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
$377,713 Vol.
64%
New Rihanna Album
$369,625 Vol.
56%
New Rihanna Album
$369,625 Vol.
56%
Trump out as President
$309,961 Vol.
52%
Trump out as President
$309,961 Vol.
52%
China invades Taiwan
$911,688 Vol.
52%
China invades Taiwan
$911,688 Vol.
52%
Jesus Christ returns
$7,268,962 Vol.
49%
Jesus Christ returns
$7,268,962 Vol.
49%
Bitcoin hits $1m
$2,404,816 Vol.
49%
Bitcoin hits $1m
$2,404,816 Vol.
49%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rihanna officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Created At: May 2, 2025, 3:47 PM UTC
Volume
$12,398,699End Date
Jul 31, 2026Created At
May 2, 2025, 3:47 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...$12,398,699 Vol.
Asked by
Complex
What will happen before GTA VI?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
GPT-6 released
$177,912 Vol.
73%
New Playboi Carti Album
$578,022 Vol.
68%
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
$377,713 Vol.
64%
New Rihanna Album
$369,625 Vol.
56%
Trump out as President
$309,961 Vol.
52%
China invades Taiwan
$911,688 Vol.
52%
Jesus Christ returns
$7,268,962 Vol.
49%
Bitcoin hits $1m
$2,404,816 Vol.
49%
About
Volume
$12,398,699End Date
Jul 31, 2026Created At
May 2, 2025, 3:47 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.