Name: What will Biden say during State of the Union?
Start: 2024-03-06T19:21:04.447Z
End: 2024-03-07T00:00:00Z

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Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Trump" or "trump" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. E.g. if Biden says "I have a trump card up my sleeve" this market will resolve to "Yes."

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

Trump

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. 

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

Border 3 or more times

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed words, regardless of the context of their usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. 

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

AI/Artificial Intelligence

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "fentanyl" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. 

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

Fentanyl

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ukraine" or "Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. 

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

Ukraine/Ukranian 3 or more times

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Navalny" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market.

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

Navalny

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Putin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If Biden just says "Vladimir" it will not count for this market.

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

Putin

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "China" or "Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. 

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

 China/Chinese 3 or more times

Update: Hyphenated compound words will count - non-hyphenated compound words will not count. For example, “Chinese-made” will count as saying “Chinese”, but “moonshot” will not count as saying “moon”. If it is unclear whether Biden said a compound/hyphenated word, the transcript will be used.

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Moon" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. 

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

Moon

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Hunter" or "hunter" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. 

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

Hunter

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. 

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

Bitcoin

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. 

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

Folks 4 or more times

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. 

If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

What will Biden say during State of the Union?

Trump
$10,502 Vol.
No

Folks 4 or more times
$22,245 Vol.
Yes

China/Chinese 3 or more times
$2,401 Vol.
Yes

Border 3 or more times
$4,427 Vol.
Yes

Ukraine/Ukranian 3 or more times
$3,898 Vol.
Yes

Bitcoin
$6,290 Vol.
No

Ceasefire
$2,833 Vol.
Yes

AI/Artificial Intelligence
$8,040 Vol.
Yes

Fentanyl
$2,217 Vol.
Yes

Navalny
$3,754 Vol.
No

Putin
$1,560 Vol.
Yes

Hunter
$4,366 Vol.
No

Moon
$3,986 Vol.
No

Market Context