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What price will $BTC dip below before October?

Market icon

What price will $BTC dip below before October?

$1,778,536 Vol.

Sep 30, 2024
Polymarket

$1,778,536 Vol.

Polymarket

$50,000

$661,748 Vol.

No

$45,000

$336,830 Vol.

No

$40,000

$779,959 Vol.

No

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin BTC-USDT between 2024/08/30 10:00 and 2024/09/30 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price of 49,999.99 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC-USDT "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” candles selected on the top bar.

To see the "Low" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "Low" at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC-USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Volume
$1,778,536
End Date
Sep 30, 2024
Market Opened
Aug 30, 2024, 6:27 PM ET
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin BTC-USDT between 2024/08/30 10:00 and 2024/09/30 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price of 49,999.99 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC-USDT "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” candles selected on the top bar. To see the "Low" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "Low" at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC-USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What price will $BTC dip below before October?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$50,000" at 0%, followed by "$45,000" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What price will $BTC dip below before October?" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 30, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What price will $BTC dip below before October?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "What price will $BTC dip below before October?" is "$50,000" at just 0%, with "$45,000" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "What price will $BTC dip below before October?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.