Name: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?
Start: 2024-12-30T22:06:34.105524Z
End: 2026-01-01T05:00:00Z

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This is a market group over whit prices Bitcoin will hit in 2025.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $1,000,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

↑ 1,000,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $250,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

↑ 250,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $200,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

↑ 200,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $150,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

↑ 150,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $130,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

↑ 130,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $120,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

$120,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $110,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

$110,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $100,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

 100,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $50,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.


↓ 50,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $90,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.


$90,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $80,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.


$80,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $70,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.


↓ 70,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $20,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.


↓ 20,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $125,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

↑ 125,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $140,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

↑ 140,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $170,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

↑ 170,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between October 2, 2025, 11:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $80,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.


↓ 80,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between October 2, 2025, 11:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $90,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.


↓ 90,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between November 3, 2025, 16:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $100,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.


↓ 100,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between November 5, 2025, 10:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $120,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

↑ 120,000

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between November 7, 2025, 16:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $100,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.


Bitcoin Hit Price Monthly

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between February 1, 2025, 11:00 and February 28, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $200,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

This is a market group over whit prices Bitcoin will hit in January 2025.

What price will Bitcoin hit in January?

This is a market on predicting the price of Bitcoin in December.

What price will Bitcoin hit in December?

This is a market group over which prices Bitcoin will hit between November 1, 12:00 AM ET, November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

This is a market group over what prices Bitcoin will hit in October, 2024.

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between March 1, 2025, 00:00 and March 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $200,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

What price will Bitcoin hit in March?

What price will Bitcoin hit in April?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between May 1, 2025, 00:00 and May 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $200,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between June 1, 2025, 00:00 and June 30, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $150,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

What price will Bitcoin hit in September?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of the COMEX Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) is $3,200.00 per troy ounce or greater as of the final market close price in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be COMEX trading data for the Gold Continuous Contract (https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX).

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 3.1 percent or more over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2025 report is issued. Once the December 2025 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2025 is not issued by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between November 5, 2025 at 10:00 AM ET and December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period.

If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between August 5, 2025 at 10:30 AM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period.

If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the there are exactly 3 cuts of 25 basis points by the Fed's December meeting (including any cuts made during Dec meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately after the statement from the Fed's December 2025 meeting has been released if there has been exactly 3 rate cuts by then.

Note that cuts between 1-24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.

For example, if the FED cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). If there are 4 or more rate cuts at any point before this market's resolution date, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) announces that it has acquired more Bitcoin between July 24 11:00 ET, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between April 30, 2025 and December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET, the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) exceeds the market capitalization of the largest publicly traded company in the world. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." 

Market cap values for both BTC and companies will be taken directly from Google Finance. If Google Finance is unavailable, a consensus of credible financial data providers will be used.

Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’25” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized.

If the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if the CryptoPunks floor price reaches 60 ETH or higher at any point between July 31, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be NftPriceFloor, specifically the "CryptoPunks price chart" available at https://nftpricefloor.com/cryptopunks, with "1M" selected on the top bar. The price will be determined based on the value shown when hovering over the chart.

Only data from NFTPriceFloor will be used to resolve this market. Prices from other data providers or NFT marketplaces will not be considered.

Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 60 ETH in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

This is a market on how whether 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-For-Good-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 21 - 23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of 'Wicked: For Good' (2025) after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government sells any of its Bitcoin by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1 minute candle for BNB/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT, with the chart settings on “1m” for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BNB/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Will BNB reach $1200 in November?

If a Bitcoin hard fork occurs between July 7 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Bitcoin hard fork before 2026?

On March 11, Senator Lummis reintroduced the BITCOIN Act, which aims to purchase 1,000,000 Bitcoin. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1899447562790211883

This market will resolve to "Yes" if this act passes the Senate by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Senate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for BTC.D between Sept 5, 2025, 15:30 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value of 70.00% or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the BTC.D "High" percentage currently available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=CRYPTOCAP%3ABTC.D with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the percentage according to TradingView BTC.D, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1 minute candle for LINK/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the LINK/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/LINK_USDT, with the chart settings on “1m” for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance LINK/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Will Chainlink reach $20 in November?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dan Clancy is no longer serving as CEO of Twitch for any length of time from the date of this market's inception, December 29, 2024 through December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Dan Clancy's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Twitch and/or Dan Clancy, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto

If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.




Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

This is a market on how whether 'Lilo & Stitch' (2025) will have the third-highest domestic gross on its opening weekend compared to all other movies released in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Lilo & Stitch' (2025) grosses the third-highest on its 3-day domestic opening weekend compared to any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If three other movies' opening weekend box office performances surpass that of 'Lilo & Stitch' (2025) after the respective numbers are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will rank higher.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

This is a market on whether 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) will have the second-highest domestic gross on its opening weekend compared to all other movies released in 2025. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 4 - 6) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) grosses the second-highest on its 3-day domestic opening weekend compared to any other movie in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If two other movies' opening weekend box office performances surpass that of 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) after the respective numbers are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will rank higher.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX has between 160 (inclusive) and 179 (inclusive) launches in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the FAA, specifically the number shown next to SpaceX when 2025 is selected here https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data.

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2025 and the Fed's December 2025 meeting, currently scheduled for December 9-10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate changes information following its December meeting.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Fed rate hike in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 4 (inclusive) and 6 (inclusive) SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.

The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g. via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is forced to liquidate any of its Bitcoin holdings/positions by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, due to lender action or other external financial obligations beyond its control. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Forced liquidation is defined as the sale of Bitcoin by MicroStrategy or a lender as a direct result of a contractual obligation, such as a loan default, an unfulfilled margin call, or legal/regulatory enforcement requiring the company to sell. Voluntary Bitcoin sales, proactive debt repayments, or discretionary asset reallocation will not count. 

The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting. 


Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2025. 

If the above-listed artists are the most streamed Spotify artist for 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2025 is by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. 

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

↑ 1,000,000
$4,313,256 Vol.
<1%

↑ 250,000
$4,537,386 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

↑ 200,000
$8,049,711 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

↑ 170,000
$1,675,116 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

↑ 150,000
$8,669,150 Vol.
7%

↑ 140,000
$2,096,701 Vol.
8%
0123456789
%

↑ 130,000
$5,560,983 Vol.
21%
0123456789
%

↑ 120,000
$71,592 Vol.
33%
0123456789
%

↓ 100,000
$1,011 Vol.
88%

↓ 90,000
$802,448 Vol.
46%
0123456789
0123456789
%

↓ 80,000
$294,201 Vol.
20%
0123456789
%

↓ 70,000
$3,313,074 Vol.
10%
0123456789
%

↓ 50,000
$2,411,022 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

↓ 20,000
$2,337,508 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Market Context

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

Rules

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

Market Context

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

About

Related

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

↑ 1,000,000$4,313,256 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.4¢buy No99.6¢

↑ 250,000$4,537,386 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.3¢buy No98.7¢

↑ 200,000$8,049,711 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes2.0¢buy No98.0¢

↑ 170,000$1,675,116 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes3.5¢buy No96.5¢

↑ 150,000$8,669,150 Vol.7%buy Yes7¢buy No93¢

↑ 140,000$2,096,701 Vol.8%0123456789%buy Yes9¢buy No91¢

↑ 130,000$5,560,983 Vol.21%0123456789%buy Yes21¢buy No79¢

↑ 120,000$71,592 Vol.33%0123456789%buy Yes33¢buy No67¢

↓ 100,000$1,011 Vol.88%buy Yes90¢buy No10¢

↓ 90,000$802,448 Vol.46%01234567890123456789%buy Yes47¢buy No53¢

↓ 80,000$294,201 Vol.20%0123456789%buy Yes20.6¢buy No79.4¢

↓ 70,000$3,313,074 Vol.10%0123456789%buy Yes10¢buy No90¢

↓ 50,000$2,411,022 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes2.8¢buy No97.2¢

↓ 20,000$2,337,508 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.8¢buy No99.2¢

Market Context

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

Rules

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

Market Context

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

About

Related

↑ 1,000,000
$4,313,256 Vol.
<1%

↑ 250,000
$4,537,386 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

↑ 200,000
$8,049,711 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

↑ 170,000
$1,675,116 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

↑ 150,000
$8,669,150 Vol.
7%

↑ 140,000
$2,096,701 Vol.
8%
0123456789
%

↑ 130,000
$5,560,983 Vol.
21%
0123456789
%

↑ 120,000
$71,592 Vol.
33%
0123456789
%

↓ 100,000
$1,011 Vol.
88%

↓ 90,000
$802,448 Vol.
46%
0123456789
0123456789
%

↓ 80,000
$294,201 Vol.
20%
0123456789
%

↓ 70,000
$3,313,074 Vol.
10%
0123456789
%

↓ 50,000
$2,411,022 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

↓ 20,000
$2,337,508 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%