Market icon
Sports·Baseball

WBC: Home Runs Leader

Market icon
Sports·Baseball

WBC: Home Runs Leader

Aaron Judge <1%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. <1%

Ronald Acuña Jr. <1%

Nolan Arenado <1%

Polymarket

$1 Vol.

Aaron Judge <1%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. <1%

Ronald Acuña Jr. <1%

Nolan Arenado <1%

Polymarket

$1 Vol.

Aaron Judge

$0 Vol.

No

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

$0 Vol.

No

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$0 Vol.

No

Nolan Arenado

$0 Vol.

No

Julio Rodríguez

$0 Vol.

No

Salvador Perez

$1 Vol.

No

Juan Soto

$0 Vol.

No

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$0 Vol.

No

Gleyber Torres

$0 Vol.

No

Bryce Harper

$0 Vol.

No

Vinnie Pasquantino

$0 Vol.

No

Cal Raleigh

$0 Vol.

No

Randy Arozarena

$0 Vol.

No

Ketel Marte

$0 Vol.

No

Eugenio Suárez

$0 Vol.

No

Shohei Ohtani

$0 Vol.

No

Kyle Schwarber

$0 Vol.

No

Seiya Suzuki

$0 Vol.

No

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1
End Date
Mar 18, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 27, 2026, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who hits the most home runs during the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by World Baseball Classic rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trader consensus reflects a deadlocked race for WBC home runs leader, with nine contenders clustered at 9.5-10% implied probabilities amid the tournament's short duration and unpredictable matchups. Aaron Judge tops the market despite skipping the 2023 event, buoyed by his MLB-leading slugging and barrel rate, though participation remains unconfirmed for Team USA's loaded lineup. Ronald Acuña Jr. and Bryce Harper draw support from speed-power combos and playoff pedigree, while catchers Salvador Perez and Cal Raleigh benefit from extra at-bats in high-leverage spots. Eugenio Suárez and Kyle Schwarber stand out for pull-side power suiting hitter-friendly venues like LoanDepot Park, but Pete Crow-Armstrong and Gleyber Torres lag in proven international pop, keeping the field wide open as semifinals loom.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"WBC: Home Runs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Judge" at 0%, followed by "Vladimir Guerrero Jr." at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"WBC: Home Runs Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "WBC: Home Runs Leader," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "WBC: Home Runs Leader" is "Aaron Judge" at just 0%, with "Vladimir Guerrero Jr." close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "WBC: Home Runs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.