US military action on Yemen before July?
$65,840 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States initiates a military action on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between May 27 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to an US missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
U.S. intelligence, logistical support, or targeting assistance for another country’s attack on Yemen will not qualify. Only direct U.S. use of force on Yemeni territory counts.
In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to an US missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
U.S. intelligence, logistical support, or targeting assistance for another country’s attack on Yemen will not qualify. Only direct U.S. use of force on Yemeni territory counts.
In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: May 27, 2025, 7:06 PM UTC
Volume
$65,840End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
May 27, 2025, 7:06 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$65,840 Vol.
US military action on Yemen before July?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States initiates a military action on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between May 27 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to an US missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
U.S. intelligence, logistical support, or targeting assistance for another country’s attack on Yemen will not qualify. Only direct U.S. use of force on Yemeni territory counts.
In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to an US missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
U.S. intelligence, logistical support, or targeting assistance for another country’s attack on Yemen will not qualify. Only direct U.S. use of force on Yemeni territory counts.
In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$65,840End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
May 27, 2025, 7:06 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
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