US forces in Venezuela by...?
$2,341,885 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31
$1,139,707 Vol.
3%
December 31
$1,139,707 Vol.
3%
January 31
$1,898 Vol.
11%
January 31
$1,898 Vol.
11%
March 31
$178 Vol.
32%
March 31
$178 Vol.
32%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between September 30, 2025, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Sep 30, 2025, 6:22 PM UTC
Volume
$2,341,885End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Sep 30, 2025, 6:22 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$2,341,885 Vol.
US forces in Venezuela by...?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31
$1,139,707 Vol.
3%
January 31
$1,898 Vol.
11%
March 31
$178 Vol.
32%
About
Volume
$2,341,885End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Sep 30, 2025, 6:22 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.