Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
$7,079,947 Vol.
Mar 31, 2025
Yes
100% chance 62%
Source: Polymarket.com
Rules
Additional context
Updated Mar 24
A mineral deal which grants the United States access or rights to rare earth elements will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if “rare earths” aren’t specifically named in the deal.
As of the time of this update, the US and Ukraine have not mutually agreed to a qualifying deal. It is too early to resolve this market.
Per the dispute process, this market will be decided by the UMA vote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between February 2 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that explicitly involves Ukrainian rare earth elements. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This includes, but is not limited to, agreements related to the exchange of Ukrainian rare earths for U.S. aid (military or civilian), partnerships involving rare earth metals, future rights to rare earth resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to rare earth elements.
An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine.
This includes, but is not limited to, agreements related to the exchange of Ukrainian rare earths for U.S. aid (military or civilian), partnerships involving rare earth metals, future rights to rare earth resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to rare earth elements.
An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine.
Volume
$7,079,947
End Date
Mar 31, 2025
Resolver
0x6A9D222616...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final outcome: Yes
Comments (5671)
Top Holders
Activity
Related
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CHIFEI
3h ago
Polymarket:For the market “Was Barron Trump involved in $DJT?” UMA, the third party oracle, resolved it to “No”. It is conclusive that he was, in fact, involved in some way. As Polymarket starts to reach critical mass, our price based forecasts are becoming an indispensable source of information to many. As such, it is crucial that markets resolve to the truth by the best means possible, even if it is not a popular decision. We’ve decided to refund “Yes” holders in the market and are in the process of paying out. We are also actively working to improve our oracle and resolution methodology. Stay tuned
Alternates
10h ago
Looks like the same BS scam rigging of the resolution as with this market as well https://polymarket.com/event/seaair-ceasefire-in-ukraine-before-may/seaair-ceasefire-in-ukraine-before-may?tid=1743546874041 and others
CelticsForW
10h ago
tired of uma being rigged? google poly alert hub it shows which side is owned most by the top whales - follow the whales, not small fish.
Amir1355
18h ago
LINK BELOW TO SEE HOW POLYMARKET SCAMMED US PLEASE SHARE IT https://x.com/Web3Marmot/status/1904501360558817324
CHIFEI
20h ago
Everyone, don’t give up. PolyMarket is using delay tactics to wear down your patience. If you give up, you’ll fall into the scammers’ trap. The comment section of this post contains the contact information of all members of Congress:https://x.com/LooksUngreen/status/1906956939596333469
President28
20h ago
Told you :) follow fucking whales...
NETIZENMAUS
20h ago
SCAM
elthomas
24h ago
Polymarket owes me $240. Sounds like contract fraud. @FBI @DOD @SEC
hslzyd
1d ago
fucking UMA and fucking polymarket
JODY🩸
1d ago
Cartman bought a fair amount of no shares and would like a word with ya'll https://youtube.com/shorts/Oidojm7OIYc?si=sG1s2_NAcyFqieH-
CHIFEI
1d ago
We can't let this scam go unresolved; we need to launch a fierce attack against them.
JODY🩸
1d ago
Is it possible that Polymarket didn't cancel UMA vote because they knew that Altman would sell his UMA bag if they did ? Like, are they scared of him crashing the price? Very Beta if true..
sofanalyst
1d ago
NO DEAL, WHERE IS MY WINNING?
nicekitty
1d ago
@Poly team, I have been in communication with 2x No holders that are pursuing legal avenues and have now begun case analysis in Panama and their 2 countries of origin, where PM has not yet been prohibited from operating, you will be hearing more about this soon. Be smart, own your mistakes and compensate those who were fraudulently taken advantage of. It will cost less than 2x weeks of the reward money you issue. I and many others would like the confidence to continue using this platform. This is not a bluff
GrapeHolder
24h ago
Whats your name on discord
Shekel
21h ago
How's your friend @denizz, did he suck in Panama penis? 👃👈😅
Amir1355
2d ago
LINK BELOW TO SEE HOW POLYMARKET SCAMMED US PLEASE SHARE IT https://x.com/Web3Marmot/status/1904501360558817324
UMAisSCAM
2d ago
UMA has been, and will continue to be a SCAM. The fact that Polymarket is unwilling to part ways with UMA speaks for itself. I'm winding down my portfolio and hopefully can fully exit by Trump's 100d.
yinan777
2d ago
why
MatheoInvesting
3d ago
it's a shame from Poly team and UMA
MatheoInvesting
3d ago
SCAM
CHIFEI
3d ago
Let's go to Binance and post, asking them to kick the UMA token out of Binance. The trading volume of UMA is pitifully low.
nicekitty
3d ago
Hey Poly team, from those of us who make money on this platform and saw/experienced what happened here, I sincerely hope you start issuing refunds. You can't sweep this one under the rug, it's too big. Polymarket’s reputation is slowly burning, and the longer this goes on, the more likely it becomes that a mainstream publication picks up the story and shares it far and wide. Please undo the damage your contradictory clarifications did, before it's too late
CHIFEI
3d ago
As long as the storm of this scam doesn’t settle, the cheating beast holding 5 million UMA tokens will be extremely troubled, living in constant fear every day of the token dropping to zero. We can’t let it go.
2025Lucky
3d ago
fuck scam
CHIFEI
3d ago
Everyone, don’t be afraid. Justice will come sooner or later. Let’s contact members of Congress to expose the scam.
JODY🩸
3d ago
https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/22065257181241
okaymar
3d ago
NO REFUNDS!
thares
4d ago
Am I glad I sold this scam many weeks ago.
Prot07ype
4d ago
Wow, still no deal. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MzkZmWoJYE4
Amir1355
4d ago
LINK BELOW TO SEE HOW POLYMARKET SCAMMED US PLEASE SHARE IT https://x.com/Web3Marmot/status/1904501360558817324
Bohdan94
4d ago
Ukraine has not agreed to sign athe deal
nicekitty
4d ago
Still hoping for a decision to rectify this market Poly team. Inaction isn’t going to make it go away. Polymarket’s reputation is slowly burning, and the longer this goes on, the higher the probability of it going mainstream.
testtset
4d ago
Can anyone explain why Polymarket didn't stop this scam? If this market was monitored and they saw that the result doesnt correspond to reality.
Mr.Fujin
4d ago
ukraine didnt agree brics news on x. nice …
GrapeHolder
4d ago
still no agreed upon deal announced btw
Outcome: Yes