Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Conor McGregor as the heavy favorite at 40.5% to face Max Holloway next, fueled by Holloway's repeated post-fight callouts of the Irish superstar—most recently after his dramatic last-second knockout loss to Ilia Topuria at UFC 308 on October 26—and McGregor's anticipated lightweight return amid ongoing injury recovery rumors. Benoît Saint Denis (20%) and Dan Hooker (19.5%) trail closely after their strong recent showings: Saint Denis's gritty split decision loss to Renato Moicano on the same card and Hooker's submission win over Jalin Turner at UFC 307, where he publicly targeted Holloway. Arman Tsarukyan (16%) gains traction as a top lightweight contender fresh off a decision victory over Mateusz Gamrot, reflecting traders' view of Holloway's potential full-time move up from featherweight amid a crowded 155-pound title picture dominated by Islam Makhachev.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedConor McGregor 42%
Islam Makhachev 22%
Arman Tsarukyan 22%
Dan Hooker 20%
Conor McGregor
41%
Islam Makhachev
22%
Arman Tsarukyan
16%
Dan Hooker
20%
Benoît Saint Denis
20%
Mateusz Gamrot
12%
Alexander Volkanovski
14%
Paddy Pimblett
12%
Maurício Ruffy
7%
Justin Gaethje
5%
Ilia Topuria
3%
Conor McGregor 42%
Islam Makhachev 22%
Arman Tsarukyan 22%
Dan Hooker 20%
Conor McGregor
41%
Islam Makhachev
22%
Arman Tsarukyan
16%
Dan Hooker
20%
Benoît Saint Denis
20%
Mateusz Gamrot
12%
Alexander Volkanovski
14%
Paddy Pimblett
12%
Maurício Ruffy
7%
Justin Gaethje
5%
Ilia Topuria
3%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Mar 6, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Conor McGregor as the heavy favorite at 40.5% to face Max Holloway next, fueled by Holloway's repeated post-fight callouts of the Irish superstar—most recently after his dramatic last-second knockout loss to Ilia Topuria at UFC 308 on October 26—and McGregor's anticipated lightweight return amid ongoing injury recovery rumors. Benoît Saint Denis (20%) and Dan Hooker (19.5%) trail closely after their strong recent showings: Saint Denis's gritty split decision loss to Renato Moicano on the same card and Hooker's submission win over Jalin Turner at UFC 307, where he publicly targeted Holloway. Arman Tsarukyan (16%) gains traction as a top lightweight contender fresh off a decision victory over Mateusz Gamrot, reflecting traders' view of Holloway's potential full-time move up from featherweight amid a crowded 155-pound title picture dominated by Islam Makhachev.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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