Trader consensus favors Max Holloway at 57.5% implied probability to face Conor McGregor next, propelled by McGregor's Instagram confirmation of a July 11 International Fight Week return and Ariel Helwani's reports naming Holloway the frontrunner after the BMF champion voiced rematch interest on a Kick stream to avenge his 2013 decision loss. Ian Garry's 28.5% reflects ongoing Irish rivalry buzz from Dana White's recent comments, while Michael Chandler holds steady at 28% on their TUF 31-built animosity despite past cancellations. Nate Diaz's 26% stems from his public trilogy demand, as Masvidal fades to 14% amid reports he's not in current talks. McGregor's post-suspension eligibility sharpens focus on these high-profile stylistic matchups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMax Holloway 48%
Nate Diaz 28%
Michael Chandler 27%
Ian Garry 26%
$11,998 Vol.
$11,998 Vol.
Max Holloway
57%
Jorge Masvidal
14%
Nate Diaz
28%
Michael Chandler
27%
Ian Garry
26%
Max Holloway 48%
Nate Diaz 28%
Michael Chandler 27%
Ian Garry 26%
$11,998 Vol.
$11,998 Vol.
Max Holloway
57%
Jorge Masvidal
14%
Nate Diaz
28%
Michael Chandler
27%
Ian Garry
26%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Max Holloway at 57.5% implied probability to face Conor McGregor next, propelled by McGregor's Instagram confirmation of a July 11 International Fight Week return and Ariel Helwani's reports naming Holloway the frontrunner after the BMF champion voiced rematch interest on a Kick stream to avenge his 2013 decision loss. Ian Garry's 28.5% reflects ongoing Irish rivalry buzz from Dana White's recent comments, while Michael Chandler holds steady at 28% on their TUF 31-built animosity despite past cancellations. Nate Diaz's 26% stems from his public trilogy demand, as Masvidal fades to 14% amid reports he's not in current talks. McGregor's post-suspension eligibility sharpens focus on these high-profile stylistic matchups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions