Trader consensus prices England at 33% implied probability to produce the UEFA Europa Conference League champion, driven by Chelsea's perfect record through five league phase matches, topping the standings with 15 points after a hard-fought 3-2 comeback win over Legia Warsaw on December 12 that extended their unbeaten run. France sits at 21% thanks to Lille's strong third-place position with 12 points, including recent victories solidifying their direct knockout qualification push. The Netherlands (13.5%) benefits from Twente's competitive form, while Ukraine and Germany tie at 11.5% amid Dynamo Kyiv's resilient European showings and Eintracht Frankfurt's consistency. Midweek results have sharpened focus on the top-eight race for round-of-16 byes ahead of January playoffs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedEngland 32%
France 22%
Netherlands 14%
Italy 12%
England
32%
France
22%
Netherlands
14%
Italy
12%
Germany
12%
Ukraine
12%
Spain
11%
Greece
6%
England 32%
France 22%
Netherlands 14%
Italy 12%
England
32%
France
22%
Netherlands
14%
Italy
12%
Germany
12%
Ukraine
12%
Spain
11%
Greece
6%
If at any point it becomes impossible for any club from the listed country to win the UEFA Europa Conference League (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices England at 33% implied probability to produce the UEFA Europa Conference League champion, driven by Chelsea's perfect record through five league phase matches, topping the standings with 15 points after a hard-fought 3-2 comeback win over Legia Warsaw on December 12 that extended their unbeaten run. France sits at 21% thanks to Lille's strong third-place position with 12 points, including recent victories solidifying their direct knockout qualification push. The Netherlands (13.5%) benefits from Twente's competitive form, while Ukraine and Germany tie at 11.5% amid Dynamo Kyiv's resilient European showings and Eintracht Frankfurt's consistency. Midweek results have sharpened focus on the top-eight race for round-of-16 byes ahead of January playoffs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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