Market icon
Sports·Europa Conference League

UEFA Europa Conference League: Team to advance to semis

Market icon
Sports·Europa Conference League

UEFA Europa Conference League: Team to advance to semis

NEW
May 8, 2026
Polymarket

$454 Vol.

Polymarket

Strasbourg

$0 Vol.

57%

Rayo Vallecano

$0 Vol.

56%

Crystal Palace

$176 Vol.

61%

AZ Alkmaar

$0 Vol.

55%

Shakhtar Donetsk

$0 Vol.

44%

Fiorentina

$0 Vol.

41%

AEK Athens

$126 Vol.

44%

Mainz

$152 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UEFA Europa Conference League quarterfinal draw on March 19 locked in highly competitive two-legged ties—Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ Alkmaar, Crystal Palace vs. Fiorentina, Rayo Vallecano vs. AEK Athens, and Mainz 05 vs. Strasbourg—with first legs on April 9 and returns on April 16 determining semifinalists. Crystal Palace advanced 3-1 aggregate in the round of 16, showcasing solid home form, while Fiorentina edged through 5-4 after extra time, relying on late drama. Domestic momentum favors Premier League and Bundesliga sides amid tight league tables, but Greek and Ukrainian outfits pose upset threats via counterattacking resilience. Home advantage in opening legs, squad rotation for congested schedules, and injury reports will critically influence aggregate outcomes.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$454
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 1:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UEFA Europa Conference League quarterfinal draw on March 19 locked in highly competitive two-legged ties—Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ Alkmaar, Crystal Palace vs. Fiorentina, Rayo Vallecano vs. AEK Athens, and Mainz 05 vs. Strasbourg—with first legs on April 9 and returns on April 16 determining semifinalists. Crystal Palace advanced 3-1 aggregate in the round of 16, showcasing solid home form, while Fiorentina edged through 5-4 after extra time, relying on late drama. Domestic momentum favors Premier League and Bundesliga sides amid tight league tables, but Greek and Ukrainian outfits pose upset threats via counterattacking resilience. Home advantage in opening legs, squad rotation for congested schedules, and injury reports will critically influence aggregate outcomes.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$454
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 1:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"UEFA Europa Conference League: Team to advance to semis" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Crystal Palace" at 61%, followed by "Strasbourg" at 57%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"UEFA Europa Conference League: Team to advance to semis" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "UEFA Europa Conference League: Team to advance to semis," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UEFA Europa Conference League: Team to advance to semis" is "Crystal Palace" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Strasbourg" at 57%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UEFA Europa Conference League: Team to advance to semis" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.