Arsenal's edge in trader consensus stems from their flawless late league-phase surge and Premier League dominance, positioning them at 27.5% implied probability, but Bayern Munich (21.5%) lurks close with Harry Kane's scoring form and direct round-of-16 qualification. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) fuel the tightness via Hansi Flick's tactical revival and Luis Enrique's depth, respectively, while Real Madrid's slide to 9.5% reflects domestic stumbles and injury woes like Courtois' absence. Playoff upsets among seeds 9-24 add volatility, bunching odds as historical knockout chaos—evident in recent Feyenoord-Chelsea shocks—keeps no clear path to May's final in Munich.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$216,413,595 Vol.
$216,413,595 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
10%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
4%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$216,413,595 Vol.
$216,413,595 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
10%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
4%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal's edge in trader consensus stems from their flawless late league-phase surge and Premier League dominance, positioning them at 27.5% implied probability, but Bayern Munich (21.5%) lurks close with Harry Kane's scoring form and direct round-of-16 qualification. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) fuel the tightness via Hansi Flick's tactical revival and Luis Enrique's depth, respectively, while Real Madrid's slide to 9.5% reflects domestic stumbles and injury woes like Courtois' absence. Playoff upsets among seeds 9-24 add volatility, bunching odds as historical knockout chaos—evident in recent Feyenoord-Chelsea shocks—keeps no clear path to May's final in Munich.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions