Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League, reflecting their dominant 3-1 aggregate round-of-16 victory over Bayer Leverkusen and a favorable quarterfinal path against Sporting CP, whose 5-3 win over Bodø/Glimt pales against the Gunners' league-phase supremacy. Bayern Munich (21.5%) follows closely after a 10-2 thrashing of Atalanta, but faces a blockbuster clash with Real Madrid (5-1 aggregate over Manchester City), tightening the top bunch. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) impressed with 8-3 and 8-2 romps over Newcastle and Chelsea, respectively, yet Atletico Madrid's gritty 7-5 escape past Tottenham and Liverpool's 4-1 over Galatasaray underscore the knockout volatility in these two-legged ties ahead of April 7-8 first legs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$222,409,687 Vol.
$222,409,687 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$222,409,687 Vol.
$222,409,687 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League, reflecting their dominant 3-1 aggregate round-of-16 victory over Bayer Leverkusen and a favorable quarterfinal path against Sporting CP, whose 5-3 win over Bodø/Glimt pales against the Gunners' league-phase supremacy. Bayern Munich (21.5%) follows closely after a 10-2 thrashing of Atalanta, but faces a blockbuster clash with Real Madrid (5-1 aggregate over Manchester City), tightening the top bunch. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) impressed with 8-3 and 8-2 romps over Newcastle and Chelsea, respectively, yet Atletico Madrid's gritty 7-5 escape past Tottenham and Liverpool's 4-1 over Galatasaray underscore the knockout volatility in these two-legged ties ahead of April 7-8 first legs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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