With the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League final set for May 30 at Budapest's Puskás Aréna pitting defending champions PSG against Arsenal, trader consensus favors PSG at 57.5% implied probability following their gritty 6-5 aggregate semi-final win over Bayern Munich, highlighted by a dramatic 1-1 second-leg draw after a 5-4 first-leg thriller showcasing their lethal attack led by Ousmane Dembélé. Arsenal advanced past Atlético Madrid with a stingy knockout run conceding just two goals across six matches, bolstered by recent Premier League momentum including Leandro Trossard's late winner in a title-race clash. PSG's prior semi-final elimination of Arsenal last season adds edge, though Arsenal's defensive resilience keeps them viable at 42.5%; Club Brugge faded early. No major injury concerns reported in final preparations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPSG 57%
Arsenal 43%
Club Brugge <1%
$254,156,907 Vol.
$254,156,907 Vol.
PSG
57%
Arsenal
43%
Club Brugge
<1%
PSG 57%
Arsenal 43%
Club Brugge <1%
$254,156,907 Vol.
$254,156,907 Vol.
PSG
57%
Arsenal
43%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
With the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League final set for May 30 at Budapest's Puskás Aréna pitting defending champions PSG against Arsenal, trader consensus favors PSG at 57.5% implied probability following their gritty 6-5 aggregate semi-final win over Bayern Munich, highlighted by a dramatic 1-1 second-leg draw after a 5-4 first-leg thriller showcasing their lethal attack led by Ousmane Dembélé. Arsenal advanced past Atlético Madrid with a stingy knockout run conceding just two goals across six matches, bolstered by recent Premier League momentum including Leandro Trossard's late winner in a title-race clash. PSG's prior semi-final elimination of Arsenal last season adds edge, though Arsenal's defensive resilience keeps them viable at 42.5%; Club Brugge faded early. No major injury concerns reported in final preparations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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