Market icon
Sports·Soccer

UEFA Champions League Winner

Market icon
Sports·Soccer

UEFA Champions League Winner

Arsenal 26%

Bayern Munich 22%

Barcelona 17%

PSG 14%

Polymarket

$224,449,054 Vol.

Arsenal 26%

Bayern Munich 22%

Barcelona 17%

PSG 14%

Polymarket

$224,449,054 Vol.

Arsenal

$3,549,438 Vol.

26%

Bayern Munich

$3,204,862 Vol.

22%

Barcelona

$3,210,491 Vol.

17%

PSG

$5,174,615 Vol.

14%

Real Madrid

$3,770,171 Vol.

11%

Liverpool

$3,377,235 Vol.

7%

Atletico Madrid

$12,796,637 Vol.

4%

Sporting

$13,103,887 Vol.

1%

Club Brugge

$18,983,472 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders view Arsenal as the slim favorite at 25.5% implied probability following their comfortable round-of-16 advancement and favorable quarterfinal draw against longshot Sporting CP, bolstered by strong recent form that reclaimed them atop power rankings. Bayern Munich trails closely at 21.5% after a dominant knockout display, though their blockbuster clash with Real Madrid introduces uncertainty. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (13.5%) hold solid positions post-cruising ties, facing gritty Spanish derby and Liverpool tests respectively, while Real Madrid (10.5%) and Liverpool (6.5%) retain upset potential despite tougher paths. The bunched top probabilities reflect a stacked quarterfinal bracket—PSG-Liverpool, Barcelona-Atletico Madrid, Real Madrid-Bayern—keeping the race wide open ahead of first legs on April 7-8.

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$224,449,054
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders view Arsenal as the slim favorite at 25.5% implied probability following their comfortable round-of-16 advancement and favorable quarterfinal draw against longshot Sporting CP, bolstered by strong recent form that reclaimed them atop power rankings. Bayern Munich trails closely at 21.5% after a dominant knockout display, though their blockbuster clash with Real Madrid introduces uncertainty. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (13.5%) hold solid positions post-cruising ties, facing gritty Spanish derby and Liverpool tests respectively, while Real Madrid (10.5%) and Liverpool (6.5%) retain upset potential despite tougher paths. The bunched top probabilities reflect a stacked quarterfinal bracket—PSG-Liverpool, Barcelona-Atletico Madrid, Real Madrid-Bayern—keeping the race wide open ahead of first legs on April 7-8.

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$224,449,054
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

Market icon

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

34%
Market icon

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

89%
Market icon

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

99%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"UEFA Champions League Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 39 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arsenal" at 26%, followed by "Bayern Munich" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UEFA Champions League Winner " has generated $224.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UEFA Champions League Winner ," browse the 39 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UEFA Champions League Winner " is "Arsenal" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bayern Munich" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UEFA Champions League Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.