Trader consensus slightly favors FC Bayern München at 45.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at the Bernabéu, driven by Harry Kane's anticipated return from an ankle injury sustained on international duty—Bayern skipped him against Freiburg to ensure fitness, boosting their attack after recent Bundesliga form. Real Madrid CF trails at 33.5% amid mounting absences: Thibaut Courtois out with a quad strain until late April, Jude Bellingham unlikely to start due to a lingering hamstring issue from February, Rodrygo sidelined by ACL recovery, and Fede Valverde suspended, pressuring their squad depth despite positive defender updates on Éder Militão and Antonio Rüdiger. The 22.5% draw probability reflects the evenly matched rivalry's history of tight contests.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors FC Bayern München at 45.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at the Bernabéu, driven by Harry Kane's anticipated return from an ankle injury sustained on international duty—Bayern skipped him against Freiburg to ensure fitness, boosting their attack after recent Bundesliga form. Real Madrid CF trails at 33.5% amid mounting absences: Thibaut Courtois out with a quad strain until late April, Jude Bellingham unlikely to start due to a lingering hamstring issue from February, Rodrygo sidelined by ACL recovery, and Fede Valverde suspended, pressuring their squad depth despite positive defender updates on Éder Militão and Antonio Rüdiger. The 22.5% draw probability reflects the evenly matched rivalry's history of tight contests.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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