Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 58% implied probability for victory over Real Madrid CF in this UEFA Champions League quarterfinal second leg at Allianz Arena, driven by Bayern's superior recent form—including a dramatic injury-time remontada win days ago—and home advantage where they've dominated European ties. Harry Kane's optimistic recovery from an ankle knock, skipping only a domestic fixture, enhances their attacking threat under Vincent Kompany, while Real Madrid contends with a depleted squad: Thibaut Courtois out for both legs, Rodrygo sidelined long-term with ACL issues, and Jude Bellingham's fitness approached cautiously post-injury. Positive updates on Real's defenders provide minor relief, but overall absences temper their historical head-to-head edge, leaving the draw at 14% amid Bayern's momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 58% implied probability for victory over Real Madrid CF in this UEFA Champions League quarterfinal second leg at Allianz Arena, driven by Bayern's superior recent form—including a dramatic injury-time remontada win days ago—and home advantage where they've dominated European ties. Harry Kane's optimistic recovery from an ankle knock, skipping only a domestic fixture, enhances their attacking threat under Vincent Kompany, while Real Madrid contends with a depleted squad: Thibaut Courtois out for both legs, Rodrygo sidelined long-term with ACL issues, and Jude Bellingham's fitness approached cautiously post-injury. Positive updates on Real's defenders provide minor relief, but overall absences temper their historical head-to-head edge, leaving the draw at 14% amid Bayern's momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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