Name: Trump CNN Town Hall: Will he mention...?
Start: 2023-05-09T21:52:12.245Z
End: 2023-05-10T00:00:00Z

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This is a market group over which specific terms Donald J. Trump will mention in his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET, May 10.


This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions DeSantis more times than he mentions Biden during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." If they have an equal amount of mentions the market resolves to "No."

Only the following phrasings will count as mentions of DeSantis:
"Ron"
"DeSantis"
"Ron DeSantis"
"Ron DeSanctimonious"
"Ron DeSanctus"

Note that if e.g. he says "Ron DeSantis", it only counts as one mention. 

Only the following phrasing will count as mentions of Biden:
"Joe"
"Joseph"
"Biden"
“Joe Biden"
"Joseph Biden"

Note that if e.g. he says "Joe Biden's", it only counts as one mention. 

Pluralization/possessive of the above names will count toward the resolution of this market.

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No"."

DeSantis mentions > Biden mentions?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions Russia/Putin 5 or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

“Russia”
“Russian”
"Russia's"
“Putin”
"Putins"
"Putin's"

Pluralization/possessive of the words above will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


Russia/Putin 5 or more times?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Meatball" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Meatball

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Hunter Biden" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Pluralization/possessive of the full name will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Hunter Biden

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "lock her up" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word "lock" in the phrase will count (e.g. locks her up) - mere references will not count.

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Lock Her Up

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "rape" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Rape

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "January 6", "January 6th", "Jan. 6" or "Jan 6th" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Pluralization/possessive of the phrases will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

January 6

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "beautiful" ten or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. beautifully) of the word will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Beautiful 10 or more times?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "huge" ten or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. hugely) will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Huge 10 or more times?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "bigly" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Bigly

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions "Ron DeSantis" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Only the following phrasings will count as mentions of DeSantis:
"Ron"
"DeSantis"
"Ron DeSantis"
"Ron DeSanctimonious"
"Ron DeSanctus"

Note that if e.g. he says "Ron DeSantis", it only counts as one mention. References to the above names will not count. Pluralization/possessive of the above names will count toward the resolution of this market. If Trump says e.g. "meatball Ron" it will count.

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Ron DeSantis 5 or more times

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions "Joe Biden" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Only the following phrasings will count as mentions of Biden:
"Joe"
"Joseph"
"Biden" (however phrases that don't reference Joe Biden such as Jill Biden or Hunter Biden will NOT count)
“Joe Biden"
"Joseph Biden"

Note that if e.g. he says "Joe Biden's", it only counts as one mention. References to the above names will not count. Pluralization/possessive of the above names will count toward the resolution of this market.

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


Joe Biden 5 or more times?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump uses at least one of the following words/phrases during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023:

“AI"
"Artificial Intelligence"
"AGI"
"Artificial General Intelligence"
"GPT"
"GPT-3"
"GPT-4"
"GPT-5"
"LLM"
"Large Language Model"

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the phrases will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


AI/GPT

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Bitcoin" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Bitcoin

Trump CNN Town Hall: Will he mention...?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse Andy Barr for KY-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is interviewed by Tucker Carlson between November 17, 2025 and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interview is defined as a scheduled, recorded conversation where Donald Trump answers questions posed by Tucker Carlson. Press conferences or media briefings held by the White House with Carlson in attendance will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a credible consensus of reporting that Donald Trump has recorded an interview with Tucker Carlson before February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, even if that interview is not yet released.

The resolution source for this market will be publicly available video footage of the interview; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tucker Carlson interview Trump by February 28?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Benjamin Netanyahu personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

This includes calling Netanyahu weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, or using other derogatory language. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

Any public statement made by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 19, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 22, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "ISIS" this week? (December 22 - 28)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump announces that he is running for a third term as US President by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Trump must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for a third term" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice. 

Past statements such his March 30 NBC phone interview where he stated "There are methods which you could do it, as you know... A lot of people want me to do it." or his November 13, 2024, where he stated "I suspect I won’t be running again unless you say, ‘He’s so good we’ve got to figure something else out.’" would NOT qualify. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trump announce run for 3rd term?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "RINO" or "Rhino" in December?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement within this market’s timeframe from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. 

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Trump says Fuck, Fucking, or Fucked 
- House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution
- Trump declares another national emergency

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

The full rules for this market can be found here: 
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Panick+in+the+White+House.pdf

Panick in the White House

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of $TRUMP (https://solscan.io/token/6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN), either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy $TRUMP in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Nicholas J. Fuentes personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling Nicholas J. Fuentes weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “Nick isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to Nicholas J. Fuentes’s professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “Nick isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if Nicholas J. Fuentes is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

Will Trump disparage Nick Fuentes by December 31?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit Florida in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public
- Trump out as President
- Trump impeached
- Any Trump cabinet member out

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Trump-Epstein+Parlay.pdf

Trump-Epstein Parlay

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s Truth Social post published on the morning of December 15, 2025, regarding the passing of Rob Reiner (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/115724141568860081) is deleted at any point between this market’s creation and December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying deletion includes the post being removed for any duration, regardless of whether it is later reposted.

Edits to the post will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump’s official Truth Social account; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.

If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un all meet with Donald Trump between October 24, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits North Korea between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) announces that it has acquired more Bitcoin between July 24 11:00 ET, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that explicitly eliminates federal income taxes for individuals earning less than $150,000 per year in the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Legislation which includes specific exceptions where federal income tax remains applicable for specified groups (whether by income, occupation, or other criteria) will still qualify, as long as the primary outcome of the law is the removal of federal income tax for individuals earning under $150,000. Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g., he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Trump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly claims that any of the moon landings were faked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The claim must come directly from Trump via a verified social media account, official public statement, or during a recorded interview, speech, or rally. Indirect remarks, jokes, or quotes taken out of context will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used to confirm the legitimacy of such statements.

Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.

If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Benjamin Netanyahu between November 18 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?

On April 2, Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on all imports set to take effect on April 5, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which pauses, delays, or removes the 10% general tariff by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

Actions which remove the general 10% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 10% without removing it will not qualify.

Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the market cap of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) as of market close on December 31, 2025.

The market capitalization of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) will be determined by checking Google Finance’s “Market Cap” metric for DJT at the time of market close for December 31, 2025 (https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ).

If the market capitalization falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) changes its name or is merged into another entity before this market’s check time, this market will resolve based on the market capitalization of the successor entity.

The resolution source for this market will be Google Finance’s “Market Cap” metric for DJT (https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ). If this resolution source is not available at this market’s check time, this market will remain open until it becomes available again and resolve based on the figure reported at that time. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be chosen to resolve this market.

Will $DJT's market cap be between 4.5b and 5b

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that Donald Trump has visited visited Little Saint James by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place Trump on the island.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy meets with Donald Trump by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

If Donald J. Trump visits Israel by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Trump enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Ali Khamenei speak directly to one another between June 26, 7:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any conversation that occurs directly between Donald Trump and Ali Khamenei will qualify, regardless of whether it is over the phone, videocall, or in person. The conversation must be voice-based, not text-based.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the governments of Iran and the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025? 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of Ethereum, either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy Ethereum in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell publicly accuses Donald Trump of sexual misconduct between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, she must explicitly state that Trump engaged in sexual misconduct, or clearly describe behavior that meets that description. Sexual misconduct includes, but is not limited to, sexual harassment, sexual assault, unwanted advances, infidelity, affairs, or pedophilia. Trump must be named directly.

The accusation must be made by Maxwell and made public within the specified date range.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting

Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes any tariffs on imports from Canada by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on Canadian imports will qualify, including changes to the reciprocal tariff, or any other existing or new tariffs specifically targeting Canadian goods.

Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific Canadian provinces or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution.

Item-specific tariff exemptions, such as those outlined in the U.S. Customs and Border Protection notice dated April 11, 2025, which excluded 25 HTSUS codes covering electronics, will not qualify.

Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

Trump CNN Town Hall: Will he mention...?

Russia/Putin 5 or more times?
$1,017 Vol.
Yes

Joe Biden 5 or more times?
$815 Vol.
Yes

Ron DeSantis 5 or more times
$659 Vol.
No

DeSantis mentions > Biden mentions?
$502 Vol.
No

Beautiful 10 or more times?
$2,099 Vol.
No

Huge 10 or more times?
$774 Vol.
No

Meatball
$515 Vol.
No

Hunter Biden
$568 Vol.
No

Lock Her Up
$0 Vol.
No

January 6
$1,010 Vol.
Yes

Rape
$2,638 Vol.
Yes

Bigly
$2,644 Vol.
No

AI/GPT
$1,114 Vol.
No

Bitcoin
$385 Vol.
No

Market Context

Trump CNN Town Hall: Will he mention...?

Rules

Trump CNN Town Hall: Will he mention...?

Market Context

Trump CNN Town Hall: Will he mention...?

About

Related

Trump CNN Town Hall: Will he mention...?

Russia/Putin 5 or more times?$1,017 Vol.Yescircle check

Joe Biden 5 or more times?$815 Vol.Yescircle check

Ron DeSantis 5 or more times$659 Vol.Nocircle xmark

DeSantis mentions > Biden mentions?$502 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Beautiful 10 or more times?$2,099 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Huge 10 or more times?$774 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Meatball$515 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Hunter Biden$568 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lock Her Up$0 Vol.Nocircle xmark

January 6$1,010 Vol.Yescircle check

Rape$2,638 Vol.Yescircle check

Bigly$2,644 Vol.Nocircle xmark

AI/GPT$1,114 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Bitcoin$385 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Trump CNN Town Hall: Will he mention...?

Rules

Trump CNN Town Hall: Will he mention...?

Market Context

Trump CNN Town Hall: Will he mention...?

About

Related

Russia/Putin 5 or more times?
$1,017 Vol.
Yes

Joe Biden 5 or more times?
$815 Vol.
Yes

Ron DeSantis 5 or more times
$659 Vol.
No

DeSantis mentions > Biden mentions?
$502 Vol.
No

Beautiful 10 or more times?
$2,099 Vol.
No

Huge 10 or more times?
$774 Vol.
No

Meatball
$515 Vol.
No

Hunter Biden
$568 Vol.
No

Lock Her Up
$0 Vol.
No

January 6
$1,010 Vol.
Yes

Rape
$2,638 Vol.
Yes

Bigly
$2,644 Vol.
No

AI/GPT
$1,114 Vol.
No

Bitcoin
$385 Vol.
No