Trump approval rating on September 5?
$66,779 Vol.
44.0–44.4% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
43.5–43.9% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<43.5%
$8,586 Vol.
No
<43.5%
$8,586 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$12,874 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$12,874 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4%
$13,981 Vol.
Yes
44.0–44.4%
$13,981 Vol.
Yes
44.5–44.9%
$13,854 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$13,854 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$9,524 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$9,524 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$7,959 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$7,959 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 5, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Aug 29, 2025, 6:08 PM UTC
Volume
$66,779End Date
Sep 5, 2025Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 6:08 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$66,779 Vol.
Trump approval rating on September 5?
44.0–44.4% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
43.5–43.9% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
<43.5%
$8,586 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$12,874 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4%
$13,981 Vol.
Yes
44.5–44.9%
$13,854 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$9,524 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$7,959 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$66,779End Date
Sep 5, 2025Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 6:08 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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