Trump approval rating on September 26?
$87,479 Vol.
43.5–43.9% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
44.0–44.4% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<43.5%
$15,438 Vol.
No
<43.5%
$15,438 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$14,006 Vol.
Yes
43.5–43.9%
$14,006 Vol.
Yes
44.0–44.4%
$16,016 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4%
$16,016 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$15,766 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$15,766 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$8,845 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$8,845 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$17,409 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$17,409 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 26, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Sep 19, 2025, 6:59 PM UTC
Volume
$87,479End Date
Sep 26, 2025Created At
Sep 19, 2025, 6:59 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$87,479 Vol.
Trump approval rating on September 26?
43.5–43.9% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
44.0–44.4% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
<43.5%
$15,438 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$14,006 Vol.
Yes
44.0–44.4%
$16,016 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$15,766 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$8,845 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$17,409 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$87,479End Date
Sep 26, 2025Created At
Sep 19, 2025, 6:59 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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