Trump approval rating on August 8?
$83,922 Vol.
43.5–43.9% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
44.0–44.4% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<43.5%
$5,688 Vol.
No
<43.5%
$5,688 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$17,742 Vol.
Yes
43.5–43.9%
$17,742 Vol.
Yes
44.0–44.4%
$23,452 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4%
$23,452 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$19,007 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$19,007 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$14,105 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$14,105 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$3,929 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$3,929 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 8, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Aug 1, 2025, 8:49 PM UTC
Volume
$83,922End Date
Aug 8, 2025Created At
Aug 1, 2025, 8:49 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$83,922 Vol.
Trump approval rating on August 8?
43.5–43.9% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
44.0–44.4% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
<43.5%
$5,688 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$17,742 Vol.
Yes
44.0–44.4%
$23,452 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$19,007 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$14,105 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$3,929 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$83,922End Date
Aug 8, 2025Created At
Aug 1, 2025, 8:49 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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