Trump approval rating on August 15?
$87,813 Vol.
43.5–43.9% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
44.0–44.4% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<43.5%
$12,222 Vol.
No
<43.5%
$12,222 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$18,565 Vol.
Yes
43.5–43.9%
$18,565 Vol.
Yes
44.0–44.4%
$23,561 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4%
$23,561 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$16,344 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$16,344 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$10,626 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$10,626 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$6,495 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$6,495 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 15, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Aug 8, 2025, 11:45 PM UTC
Volume
$87,813End Date
Aug 15, 2025Created At
Aug 8, 2025, 11:45 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$87,813 Vol.
Trump approval rating on August 15?
43.5–43.9% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
44.0–44.4% <1%
44.5–44.9% <1%
<43.5%
$12,222 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$18,565 Vol.
Yes
44.0–44.4%
$23,561 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$16,344 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$10,626 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$6,495 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$87,813End Date
Aug 15, 2025Created At
Aug 8, 2025, 11:45 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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