Name: Super Bowl Margin of Victory
Start: 2024-02-06T23:19:00Z
End: 2024-02-11T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII by between 3 and 6 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

49ers by 3-6

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII by between 7 and 14 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

49ers by 7-14

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII by more than 21 points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

49ers by >21

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII by more than 21 points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Chiefs by >21

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII by between 7 and 14 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Chiefs by 7-14

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII by between 15 and 21 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

49ers by 15-21

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII by between 15 and 21 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Chiefs by 15-21

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII by between 3 and 6 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Chiefs by 3-6

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII by between 1 and 2 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Chiefs by 1-2

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII by between 1 and 2 points (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this game is not completed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LVIII, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

49ers by 1-2

Super Bowl Margin of Victory

This market will resolve according to the playoff qualification seed (1-7 for each conference) of the team that wins Super Bowl LX. 

If Super Bowl LX has not been completed by February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". 

If at any point it becomes impossible for a specific playoff qualification seed to win Super Bowl LX based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., all teams with that seed are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.

Will a No. 1 seed win Super Bowl LX

This market will resolve according to the exact outcome of Super Bowl LX. 

If Super Bowl LX has not been completed by February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". 

If at any point it becomes impossible for this exact outcome to occur in Super Bowl LX based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. one team is eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.

Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

This market will resolve according to the teams that advance to Super Bowl LX. 

If the Super Bowl LX matchup has not been confirmed by February 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". 

An announcement of Super Bowl LX matchup before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this matchup to occur in Super Bowl LX based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. one team is eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.

Will Houston face San Francisco in Super Bowl LX?

This is a polymarket to predict which division the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team from the listed division wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?

This is a polymarket to predict whether a team from the AFC or the NFC will win the NFL 2025-26 Super Bowl.

If the winning team of the 2025-26 Super Bowl is from the AFC, this market will resolve to "AFC".

If the winning team of the 2025-26 Super Bowl is from the NFC, this market will resolve to "NFC".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to 50–50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Super Bowl - Winning Conference 

This is a polymarket to predict which state the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team who plays in the listed state wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from any Other state?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New England Patriots win the 2025-26 AFC Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the AFC Championship based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Seattle Seahawks win the 2025-26 NFC Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the NFC Championship based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is played first by any performer during the Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LX on Fox, scheduled for February 8, 2026, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.

Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple. 

If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.

The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

This market will resolve according to the player who wins 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. 

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most passing yards in the 2025-2026 NFL regular season. 

If two or more players are tied for the most passing yards, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will Baker Mayfield lead the NFL in passing yards this season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins the 2026 College Football National Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the College Football National Championship based on the rules of the NCAA (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from NCAA Football, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Super Bowl Margin of Victory

Chiefs by >21
$7,005 Vol.
No

Chiefs by 15-21
$3,326 Vol.
No

Chiefs by 7-14
$7,371 Vol.
No

Chiefs by 3-6
$8,807 Vol.
Yes

Chiefs by 1-2
$6,581 Vol.
No

49ers by 1-2
$7,498 Vol.
No

49ers by 3-6
$2,367 Vol.
No

49ers by 7-14
$6,655 Vol.
No

49ers by 15-21
$6,196 Vol.
No

49ers by >21
$7,550 Vol.
No

Market Context

Super Bowl Margin of Victory

Rules

Super Bowl Margin of Victory

Market Context

Super Bowl Margin of Victory

About

Related

Super Bowl Margin of Victory

Chiefs by >21$7,005 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Chiefs by 15-21$3,326 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Chiefs by 7-14$7,371 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Chiefs by 3-6$8,807 Vol.Yescircle check

Chiefs by 1-2$6,581 Vol.Nocircle xmark

49ers by 1-2$7,498 Vol.Nocircle xmark

49ers by 3-6$2,367 Vol.Nocircle xmark

49ers by 7-14$6,655 Vol.Nocircle xmark

49ers by 15-21$6,196 Vol.Nocircle xmark

49ers by >21$7,550 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Super Bowl Margin of Victory

Rules

Super Bowl Margin of Victory

Market Context

Super Bowl Margin of Victory

About

Related

Chiefs by >21
$7,005 Vol.
No

Chiefs by 15-21
$3,326 Vol.
No

Chiefs by 7-14
$7,371 Vol.
No

Chiefs by 3-6
$8,807 Vol.
Yes

Chiefs by 1-2
$6,581 Vol.
No

49ers by 1-2
$7,498 Vol.
No

49ers by 3-6
$2,367 Vol.
No

49ers by 7-14
$6,655 Vol.
No

49ers by 15-21
$6,196 Vol.
No

49ers by >21
$7,550 Vol.
No