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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9

$441,297 Vol.

OUTCOMERESULT

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the ninth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).

If the ninth launch does not occur by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Volume
$441,297
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Mar 12, 2025, 3:16 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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$441,297 Vol.

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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9

April 15

$4,291 Vol.

No

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April 30

$7,720 Vol.

No

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Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?

$157,153 Vol.

No

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Super Heavy explodes?

$99,839 Vol.

Yes

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Trump attends launch?

$5,512 Vol.

No

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Successful splash down?

$26,850 Vol.

No

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Launched by May 20

$17,193 Vol.

No

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Launched by May 31

$122,738 Vol.

Yes

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About

Volume
$441,297
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Mar 12, 2025, 3:16 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.