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Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo

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Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo

Dvalishvili

48% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Dvalishvili

48% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the match against Henry Cejudo at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner. This market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by RAF, including any tiebreaker mechanisms employed. If no official winner is designated, a tie is declared the final result, or the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RAF (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Henry Cejudo's late withdrawal due to injury has cancelled the RAF 08 main event freestyle wrestling matchup against Merab Dvalishvili just hours before the Liacouras Center bell, elevating Tsarukyan-Faber to headline and likely steering Polymarket to a 50-50 resolution unless rescheduled before May 2. Prior to this bombshell, trader consensus priced Cejudo at a razor-thin 51% implied probability, balancing his two-time Olympic gold medalist credentials and superior freestyle technique against Dvalishvili's relentless chain wrestling and cardio that overwhelmed him in their UFC 298 MMA decision win. Press conference banter underscored Merab's admitted rules inexperience, while Cejudo's technical edge in pure grappling created the competitive deadlock—official injury details or rescheduling news could swing sentiment sharply.

This market will resolve to "Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the match against Henry Cejudo at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner.

This market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by RAF, including any tiebreaker mechanisms employed. If no official winner is designated, a tie is declared the final result, or the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RAF (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,558
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the match against Henry Cejudo at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner. This market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by RAF, including any tiebreaker mechanisms employed. If no official winner is designated, a tie is declared the final result, or the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RAF (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the match against Henry Cejudo at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner. This market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by RAF, including any tiebreaker mechanisms employed. If no official winner is designated, a tie is declared the final result, or the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RAF (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Henry Cejudo's late withdrawal due to injury has cancelled the RAF 08 main event freestyle wrestling matchup against Merab Dvalishvili just hours before the Liacouras Center bell, elevating Tsarukyan-Faber to headline and likely steering Polymarket to a 50-50 resolution unless rescheduled before May 2. Prior to this bombshell, trader consensus priced Cejudo at a razor-thin 51% implied probability, balancing his two-time Olympic gold medalist credentials and superior freestyle technique against Dvalishvili's relentless chain wrestling and cardio that overwhelmed him in their UFC 298 MMA decision win. Press conference banter underscored Merab's admitted rules inexperience, while Cejudo's technical edge in pure grappling created the competitive deadlock—official injury details or rescheduling news could swing sentiment sharply.

This market will resolve to "Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the match against Henry Cejudo at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner.

This market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by RAF, including any tiebreaker mechanisms employed. If no official winner is designated, a tie is declared the final result, or the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RAF (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,558
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the match against Henry Cejudo at The Liacouras Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Cejudo" if Henry Cejudo is officially declared the winner. This market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by RAF, including any tiebreaker mechanisms employed. If no official winner is designated, a tie is declared the final result, or the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RAF (https://www.realamericanfreestyle.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo" is "Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Real American Freestyle: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Henry Cejudo" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.