Recent polling ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec provincial election showed the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) consistently placing third in vote intention behind the Parti Québécois and either the Quebec Liberals or Coalition Avenir Québec, driven by strong regional support in the Capitale-Nationale area around Quebec City and broader anti-incumbent sentiment against the governing CAQ. Éric Duhaime’s party reached record highs near 17-20% province-wide in late September surveys while consolidating conservative-leaning voters and translating regional leads into projected seats. Québec solidaire remained lower at around 10-12%. Late campaign developments, including CAQ erosion and limited Liberal gains among francophones, reinforced PCQ’s third-place trajectory. A sharp last-minute swing in urban or Montreal-area ridings favoring another party could have altered the final ordering, though no such shift materialized in reported results.