Severe winter weather across the Northeast US triggered over 1,000 flight cancellations on March 24, per FlightAware and FAA trackers, smashing the 240 threshold and locking in trader consensus at 99.4% for Yes. Real-time data from major hubs like Boston Logan and Newark showed Delta, United, and JetBlue slashing schedules amid heavy snow and winds, with totals climbing past 1,200 by evening. This mirrors past nor'easter disruptions, like 2023's storm waves, fueling unshakeable confidence. Realistic upsets are negligible—only a massive data recount could flip it, but verified logs from airlines and the DOT make resolution a formality.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedOver 240 US flights cancelled on March 24?
Over 240 US flights cancelled on March 24?
$930 Vol.
$930 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
$930 Vol.
$930 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is over specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is over specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is over specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Volume
$930End Date
Mar 25, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is over specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is over specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is over specified number when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$930End Date
Mar 25, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Severe winter weather across the Northeast US triggered over 1,000 flight cancellations on March 24, per FlightAware and FAA trackers, smashing the 240 threshold and locking in trader consensus at 99.4% for Yes. Real-time data from major hubs like Boston Logan and Newark showed Delta, United, and JetBlue slashing schedules amid heavy snow and winds, with totals climbing past 1,200 by evening. This mirrors past nor'easter disruptions, like 2023's storm waves, fueling unshakeable confidence. Realistic upsets are negligible—only a massive data recount could flip it, but verified logs from airlines and the DOT make resolution a formality.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions