Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs 80-90 million week 1 views for MrBeast's next YouTube video at 70.5% implied probability, driven by his consistent delivery of 75-95 million first-week tallies across recent uploads like "$1 vs $1,000,000,000 Yacht!" (92M) and "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!" (85M as of late July). This positioning reflects sustained subscriber momentum from his 300M+ base, optimized thumbnails, and high-engagement challenges amid minimal competition during summer. The 27.7% on 70-80M accounts for potential algorithm fluctuations or softer promo, while 90M+ odds languish at 1.4% absent a Squid Game-level viral breakout. Watch for his next title drop and teaser buzz, as debut streaming metrics often dictate early trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 71%
70-80M 27.6%
90M+ <1%
60-70M <1%
$910,772 Vol.
$910,772 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
28%
80-90M
71%
90M+
1%
80-90M 71%
70-80M 27.6%
90M+ <1%
60-70M <1%
$910,772 Vol.
$910,772 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
28%
80-90M
71%
90M+
1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs 80-90 million week 1 views for MrBeast's next YouTube video at 70.5% implied probability, driven by his consistent delivery of 75-95 million first-week tallies across recent uploads like "$1 vs $1,000,000,000 Yacht!" (92M) and "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!" (85M as of late July). This positioning reflects sustained subscriber momentum from his 300M+ base, optimized thumbnails, and high-engagement challenges amid minimal competition during summer. The 27.7% on 70-80M accounts for potential algorithm fluctuations or softer promo, while 90M+ odds languish at 1.4% absent a Squid Game-level viral breakout. Watch for his next title drop and teaser buzz, as debut streaming metrics often dictate early trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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