MrBeast's next main-channel video enjoys strong trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability for 80-90 million week-one views, driven by his track record of explosive view velocity from high-stakes challenge formats that dominate YouTube's algorithm. Recent uploads like "I Survived 50 Hours In Antarctica" (89 million week-one views) and "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!" (82 million) underscore this consistency amid his 312 million subscribers and optimized thumbnails/titles. The 12.5% on 70-80 million reflects minor hedging for potential competition or upload timing shifts, while 90 million-plus odds (1.8%) await blockbuster hooks like celebrity collabs. With biweekly cadence, watch for announcement teases on X that could spike early buzz before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 59%
70-80M 35.4%
90M+ 2.4%
60-70M <1%
$844,787 Vol.
$844,787 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
1%
60-70M
1%
70-80M
35%
80-90M
59%
90M+
2%
80-90M 59%
70-80M 35.4%
90M+ 2.4%
60-70M <1%
$844,787 Vol.
$844,787 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
1%
60-70M
1%
70-80M
35%
80-90M
59%
90M+
2%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast's next main-channel video enjoys strong trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability for 80-90 million week-one views, driven by his track record of explosive view velocity from high-stakes challenge formats that dominate YouTube's algorithm. Recent uploads like "I Survived 50 Hours In Antarctica" (89 million week-one views) and "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!" (82 million) underscore this consistency amid his 312 million subscribers and optimized thumbnails/titles. The 12.5% on 70-80 million reflects minor hedging for potential competition or upload timing shifts, while 90 million-plus odds (1.8%) await blockbuster hooks like celebrity collabs. With biweekly cadence, watch for announcement teases on X that could spike early buzz before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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