# of seats Liberal–National Coalition wins in Australian Election?
$403,013 Vol.
<45 100.0%
45–49 <1%
50–54 <1%
55–59 <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<45
$161,330 Vol.
Yes
<45
$161,330 Vol.
Yes
45–49
$46,965 Vol.
No
45–49
$46,965 Vol.
No
50–54
$10,931 Vol.
No
50–54
$10,931 Vol.
No
55–59
$113,776 Vol.
No
55–59
$113,776 Vol.
No
60–64
$1,459 Vol.
No
60–64
$1,459 Vol.
No
65–69
$25,306 Vol.
No
65–69
$25,306 Vol.
No
70–74
$24,440 Vol.
No
70–74
$24,440 Vol.
No
75+
$18,808 Vol.
No
75+
$18,808 Vol.
No
Rules
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Liberal–National Coalition wins in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election.
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Liberal–National Coalition wins in the Australian House of Representatives (Australia's lower house) as a result of the next Australian parliamentary election.
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Australian government, specifically the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) (https://www.aec.gov.au/).
Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.
Created At: Apr 30, 2025, 5:07 PM UTC
Volume
$403,013End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Apr 30, 2025, 5:07 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$403,013 Vol.
# of seats Liberal–National Coalition wins in Australian Election?
<45 100.0%
45–49 <1%
50–54 <1%
55–59 <1%
<45
$161,330 Vol.
Yes
45–49
$46,965 Vol.
No
50–54
$10,931 Vol.
No
55–59
$113,776 Vol.
No
60–64
$1,459 Vol.
No
65–69
$25,306 Vol.
No
70–74
$24,440 Vol.
No
75+
$18,808 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$403,013End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
Apr 30, 2025, 5:07 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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