Strong word-of-mouth has fueled “Obsession’s” unprecedented box-office run, with the low-budget horror romance posting a rare 39% second-weekend jump to $23.9 million and a further 14% rise to $27.4 million in its third frame, making it Focus Features’ highest-grossing domestic release. Traders see this momentum moderating for the fourth weekend, positioning the $21–24 million range as the consensus outcome at 60% implied probability amid a post-Memorial Day slowdown and typical genre declines after three expanding weekends. Historical patterns for breakout horror titles and recent daily holds suggest a likely pullback, though sustained audience engagement could still push results toward the $27–30 million tier if the film maintains its current trajectory into early June.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office
"Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office
21-24m 74%
24-27m 11%
27-30m 9%
<21m 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 8, 2026
<21m
25%
21-24m
74%
24-27m
17%
27-30m
28%
>30m
27%
21-24m 74%
24-27m 11%
27-30m 9%
<21m 6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 8, 2026
<21m
$1 Vol.
25%
21-24m
$21 Vol.
74%
24-27m
$1 Vol.
17%
27-30m
$3 Vol.
28%
>30m
$1 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong word-of-mouth has fueled “Obsession’s” unprecedented box-office run, with the low-budget horror romance posting a rare 39% second-weekend jump to $23.9 million and a further 14% rise to $27.4 million in its third frame, making it Focus Features’ highest-grossing domestic release. Traders see this momentum moderating for the fourth weekend, positioning the $21–24 million range as the consensus outcome at 60% implied probability amid a post-Memorial Day slowdown and typical genre declines after three expanding weekends. Historical patterns for breakout horror titles and recent daily holds suggest a likely pullback, though sustained audience engagement could still push results toward the $27–30 million tier if the film maintains its current trajectory into early June.
This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong word-of-mouth has fueled “Obsession’s” unprecedented box-office run, with the low-budget horror romance posting a rare 39% second-weekend jump to $23.9 million and a further 14% rise to $27.4 million in its third frame, making it Focus Features’ highest-grossing domestic release. Traders see this momentum moderating for the fourth weekend, positioning the $21–24 million range as the consensus outcome at 60% implied probability amid a post-Memorial Day slowdown and typical genre declines after three expanding weekends. Historical patterns for breakout horror titles and recent daily holds suggest a likely pullback, though sustained audience engagement could still push results toward the $27–30 million tier if the film maintains its current trajectory into early June.
This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$20End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong word-of-mouth has fueled “Obsession’s” unprecedented box-office run, with the low-budget horror romance posting a rare 39% second-weekend jump to $23.9 million and a further 14% rise to $27.4 million in its third frame, making it Focus Features’ highest-grossing domestic release. Traders see this momentum moderating for the fourth weekend, positioning the $21–24 million range as the consensus outcome at 60% implied probability amid a post-Memorial Day slowdown and typical genre declines after three expanding weekends. Historical patterns for breakout horror titles and recent daily holds suggest a likely pullback, though sustained audience engagement could still push results toward the $27–30 million tier if the film maintains its current trajectory into early June.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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