Obsession’s market-implied 100% probability on a $24-27 million fourth weekend reflects its unprecedented theatrical legs as a sub-$1 million horror romance. The Curry Barker-directed Focus Features release opened modestly in mid-May but posted rare consecutive weekend gains driven by exceptional word-of-mouth and viral social buzz, culminating in a modest 7% drop to $25.6 million domestically last frame—the largest fourth-weekend haul ever for the genre. With domestic totals already exceeding $152 million and limited competition on the horizon, traders see little room for deviation. An upset into adjacent ranges would require either a sudden influx of major new releases or an abrupt erosion of audience engagement that current exit polls and tracking have not signaled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office
"Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office
24-27m 100.0%
<21m <1%
21-24m <1%
27-30m <1%
$31,738 Vol.
$31,738 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
<21m
No
21-24m
No
24-27m
Yes
27-30m
No
>30m
No
24-27m 100.0%
<21m <1%
21-24m <1%
27-30m <1%
$31,738 Vol.
$31,738 Vol.
Jun 8, 2026
<21m
$10,348 Vol.
No
21-24m
$7,783 Vol.
No
24-27m
$7,317 Vol.
Yes
27-30m
$5,502 Vol.
No
>30m
$788 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Obsession’s market-implied 100% probability on a $24-27 million fourth weekend reflects its unprecedented theatrical legs as a sub-$1 million horror romance. The Curry Barker-directed Focus Features release opened modestly in mid-May but posted rare consecutive weekend gains driven by exceptional word-of-mouth and viral social buzz, culminating in a modest 7% drop to $25.6 million domestically last frame—the largest fourth-weekend haul ever for the genre. With domestic totals already exceeding $152 million and limited competition on the horizon, traders see little room for deviation. An upset into adjacent ranges would require either a sudden influx of major new releases or an abrupt erosion of audience engagement that current exit polls and tracking have not signaled.
This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volume
$31,738End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Obsession’s market-implied 100% probability on a $24-27 million fourth weekend reflects its unprecedented theatrical legs as a sub-$1 million horror romance. The Curry Barker-directed Focus Features release opened modestly in mid-May but posted rare consecutive weekend gains driven by exceptional word-of-mouth and viral social buzz, culminating in a modest 7% drop to $25.6 million domestically last frame—the largest fourth-weekend haul ever for the genre. With domestic totals already exceeding $152 million and limited competition on the horizon, traders see little room for deviation. An upset into adjacent ranges would require either a sudden influx of major new releases or an abrupt erosion of audience engagement that current exit polls and tracking have not signaled.
This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 5 - June 7) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$31,738End Date
Jun 8, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Obsession’s market-implied 100% probability on a $24-27 million fourth weekend reflects its unprecedented theatrical legs as a sub-$1 million horror romance. The Curry Barker-directed Focus Features release opened modestly in mid-May but posted rare consecutive weekend gains driven by exceptional word-of-mouth and viral social buzz, culminating in a modest 7% drop to $25.6 million domestically last frame—the largest fourth-weekend haul ever for the genre. With domestic totals already exceeding $152 million and limited competition on the horizon, traders see little room for deviation. An upset into adjacent ranges would require either a sudden influx of major new releases or an abrupt erosion of audience engagement that current exit polls and tracking have not signaled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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