NVIDIA shares have traded lower this week amid a broader semiconductor pullback, closing near $216.85 on August 20 and hovering around $215 intraday on August 21 as rising Treasury yields weighed on growth stocks. The dominant market-implied probability for a $210–$215 weekly close reflects this momentum and positioning ahead of the August 26 fiscal Q2 earnings release, where consensus expects roughly $92 billion in revenue and $2.09 EPS. Offsetting factors include BMO Capital’s recent Outperform initiation with a $340 price target citing sustained AI infrastructure demand, limited China-specific H200 shipments, and early partnership discussions with Rebellions. These elements sustain trader focus on near-term price action while highlighting the balance between macroeconomic headwinds and long-term AI tailwinds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$210-$215 100.0%
<$200 <1%
$200-$205 <1%
$205-$210 <1%
$7,740 Vol.
$7,740 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
<$200
No
$200-$205
No
$205-$210
No
$210-$215
Yes
$215-$220
No
$220-$225
No
$225-$230
No
$230-$235
No
$235-$240
No
$240-$245
No
>$245
No
$210-$215 100.0%
<$200 <1%
$200-$205 <1%
$205-$210 <1%
$7,740 Vol.
$7,740 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
<$200
$25 Vol.
No
$200-$205
$20 Vol.
No
$205-$210
$40 Vol.
No
$210-$215
$2,975 Vol.
Yes
$215-$220
$4,555 Vol.
No
$220-$225
$20 Vol.
No
$225-$230
$20 Vol.
No
$230-$235
$20 Vol.
No
$235-$240
$20 Vol.
No
$240-$245
$20 Vol.
No
>$245
$25 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA shares have traded lower this week amid a broader semiconductor pullback, closing near $216.85 on August 20 and hovering around $215 intraday on August 21 as rising Treasury yields weighed on growth stocks. The dominant market-implied probability for a $210–$215 weekly close reflects this momentum and positioning ahead of the August 26 fiscal Q2 earnings release, where consensus expects roughly $92 billion in revenue and $2.09 EPS. Offsetting factors include BMO Capital’s recent Outperform initiation with a $340 price target citing sustained AI infrastructure demand, limited China-specific H200 shipments, and early partnership discussions with Rebellions. These elements sustain trader focus on near-term price action while highlighting the balance between macroeconomic headwinds and long-term AI tailwinds.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$7,740End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA shares have traded lower this week amid a broader semiconductor pullback, closing near $216.85 on August 20 and hovering around $215 intraday on August 21 as rising Treasury yields weighed on growth stocks. The dominant market-implied probability for a $210–$215 weekly close reflects this momentum and positioning ahead of the August 26 fiscal Q2 earnings release, where consensus expects roughly $92 billion in revenue and $2.09 EPS. Offsetting factors include BMO Capital’s recent Outperform initiation with a $340 price target citing sustained AI infrastructure demand, limited China-specific H200 shipments, and early partnership discussions with Rebellions. These elements sustain trader focus on near-term price action while highlighting the balance between macroeconomic headwinds and long-term AI tailwinds.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Volume
$7,740End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
NVIDIA shares have traded lower this week amid a broader semiconductor pullback, closing near $216.85 on August 20 and hovering around $215 intraday on August 21 as rising Treasury yields weighed on growth stocks. The dominant market-implied probability for a $210–$215 weekly close reflects this momentum and positioning ahead of the August 26 fiscal Q2 earnings release, where consensus expects roughly $92 billion in revenue and $2.09 EPS. Offsetting factors include BMO Capital’s recent Outperform initiation with a $340 price target citing sustained AI infrastructure demand, limited China-specific H200 shipments, and early partnership discussions with Rebellions. These elements sustain trader focus on near-term price action while highlighting the balance between macroeconomic headwinds and long-term AI tailwinds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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