Nvidia’s recent second-quarter results, with $96.2 billion in revenue and data-center growth exceeding 117 percent year over year, alongside guidance for continued 70 percent expansion into fiscal 2028, underpin trader expectations for market-cap expansion by year-end. The Vera Rubin platform’s ramp and full production status, combined with Nvidia’s moves into AI infrastructure financing and the Hugging Face acquisition, reinforce its ecosystem leadership. However, intensifying competition from hyperscaler custom ASICs, AMD’s data-center gains, and memory supply constraints introduce downside risks that keep the $5.50–6.00 trillion and $6.50 trillion-plus bands closely matched. Traders weigh these execution and competitive dynamics against historical product-cycle momentum when assessing end-of-2026 outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$6.50T+ 25%
$5.50-$6.00T 22%
$6.00-$6.50T 14%
$4.50-$5.00T 14%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<$4.00T
9%
$4.00-$4.50T
10%
$4.50-$5.00T
14%
$5.00-$5.50T
10%
$5.50-$6.00T
22%
$6.00-$6.50T
14%
$6.50T+
25%
$6.50T+ 25%
$5.50-$6.00T 22%
$6.00-$6.50T 14%
$4.50-$5.00T 14%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<$4.00T
$2,275 Vol.
9%
$4.00-$4.50T
$661 Vol.
10%
$4.50-$5.00T
$531 Vol.
14%
$5.00-$5.50T
$611 Vol.
10%
$5.50-$6.00T
$2,757 Vol.
22%
$6.00-$6.50T
$754 Vol.
14%
$6.50T+
$604 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s recent second-quarter results, with $96.2 billion in revenue and data-center growth exceeding 117 percent year over year, alongside guidance for continued 70 percent expansion into fiscal 2028, underpin trader expectations for market-cap expansion by year-end. The Vera Rubin platform’s ramp and full production status, combined with Nvidia’s moves into AI infrastructure financing and the Hugging Face acquisition, reinforce its ecosystem leadership. However, intensifying competition from hyperscaler custom ASICs, AMD’s data-center gains, and memory supply constraints introduce downside risks that keep the $5.50–6.00 trillion and $6.50 trillion-plus bands closely matched. Traders weigh these execution and competitive dynamics against historical product-cycle momentum when assessing end-of-2026 outcomes.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Volume
$8,194End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s recent second-quarter results, with $96.2 billion in revenue and data-center growth exceeding 117 percent year over year, alongside guidance for continued 70 percent expansion into fiscal 2028, underpin trader expectations for market-cap expansion by year-end. The Vera Rubin platform’s ramp and full production status, combined with Nvidia’s moves into AI infrastructure financing and the Hugging Face acquisition, reinforce its ecosystem leadership. However, intensifying competition from hyperscaler custom ASICs, AMD’s data-center gains, and memory supply constraints introduce downside risks that keep the $5.50–6.00 trillion and $6.50 trillion-plus bands closely matched. Traders weigh these execution and competitive dynamics against historical product-cycle momentum when assessing end-of-2026 outcomes.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$8,194End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia’s recent second-quarter results, with $96.2 billion in revenue and data-center growth exceeding 117 percent year over year, alongside guidance for continued 70 percent expansion into fiscal 2028, underpin trader expectations for market-cap expansion by year-end. The Vera Rubin platform’s ramp and full production status, combined with Nvidia’s moves into AI infrastructure financing and the Hugging Face acquisition, reinforce its ecosystem leadership. However, intensifying competition from hyperscaler custom ASICs, AMD’s data-center gains, and memory supply constraints introduce downside risks that keep the $5.50–6.00 trillion and $6.50 trillion-plus bands closely matched. Traders weigh these execution and competitive dynamics against historical product-cycle momentum when assessing end-of-2026 outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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