Market icon

North Korea missile launch by November 15?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$25,878 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile by November 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$25,878
End Date
Nov 15, 2025
Created At
Oct 22, 2025, 7:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile by November 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Market icon

North Korea missile launch by November 15?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$25,878 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile by November 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$25,878
End Date
Nov 15, 2025
Created At
Oct 22, 2025, 7:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile by November 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.