Trader consensus favors Andrei Vasilevskiy at 49.9% implied probability for the Vezina Trophy, reflecting his league-leading 35 wins, second-best 2.33 GAA, and heavy 51-game workload anchoring the Lightning's 98-point pace for a top Atlantic seed. Ilya Sorokin trails closely at 40.8%, buoyed by topping goals saved above expected (29.7 GSAx) and high-danger save percentage (.878), plus seven shutouts, as highlighted in NHL EDGE analysis three days ago amid the Islanders' push for playoffs at 89 points. Scott Wedgewood's league-best .917 SV% and 2.18 GAA in 40 starts for Colorado draws niche support at 1.8%, but limited volume tempers his candidacy versus the frontrunners' endurance. With eight games remaining, recent form in wins and advanced metrics keeps the race tightly contested.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAndrei Vasilevskiy 42.4%
Ilya Sorokin 39.6%
Scott Wedgewood 1.7%
Jeremy Swayman 1.5%
$41,323 Vol.
$41,323 Vol.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
51%
Ilya Sorokin
40%
Scott Wedgewood
2%
Jeremy Swayman
2%
Filip Gustavsson
1%
Jakub Dobes
1%
John Gibson
<1%
Alex Nedeljkovic
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Anthony Stolarz
<1%
Spencer Knight
<1%
Pyotr Kochetkov
<1%
Arvid Soderblom
<1%
Philipp Grubauer
<1%
Vitek Vanecek
<1%
Eric Comrie
<1%
Calvin Pickard
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Petr Mrazek
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Karel Vejmelka
<1%
Lukas Dostal
<1%
Joseph Woll
<1%
Jake Allen
<1%
Casey DeSmith
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
<1%
Joonas Korpisalo
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Joel Hofer
<1%
Jonathan Quick
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Connor Ingram
<1%
Anton Forsberg
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Alexandar Georgiev
<1%
Jonas Johansson
<1%
Elvis Merzlikins
<1%
Charlie Lindgren
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Sam Montembeault
<1%
Alex Lyon
<1%
Joey Daccord
<1%
Tristan Jarry
<1%
Jet Greaves
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Cam Talbot
<1%
Justus Annunen
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Ilya Samsonov
<1%
David Rittich
<1%
Kevin Lankinen
<1%
Ivan Fedotov
<1%
Semyon Varlamov
<1%
Samuel Ersson
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy 42.4%
Ilya Sorokin 39.6%
Scott Wedgewood 1.7%
Jeremy Swayman 1.5%
$41,323 Vol.
$41,323 Vol.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
51%
Ilya Sorokin
40%
Scott Wedgewood
2%
Jeremy Swayman
2%
Filip Gustavsson
1%
Jakub Dobes
1%
John Gibson
<1%
Alex Nedeljkovic
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Anthony Stolarz
<1%
Spencer Knight
<1%
Pyotr Kochetkov
<1%
Arvid Soderblom
<1%
Philipp Grubauer
<1%
Vitek Vanecek
<1%
Eric Comrie
<1%
Calvin Pickard
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Petr Mrazek
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Karel Vejmelka
<1%
Lukas Dostal
<1%
Joseph Woll
<1%
Jake Allen
<1%
Casey DeSmith
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
<1%
Joonas Korpisalo
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Joel Hofer
<1%
Jonathan Quick
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Connor Ingram
<1%
Anton Forsberg
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Alexandar Georgiev
<1%
Jonas Johansson
<1%
Elvis Merzlikins
<1%
Charlie Lindgren
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Sam Montembeault
<1%
Alex Lyon
<1%
Joey Daccord
<1%
Tristan Jarry
<1%
Jet Greaves
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Cam Talbot
<1%
Justus Annunen
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Ilya Samsonov
<1%
David Rittich
<1%
Kevin Lankinen
<1%
Ivan Fedotov
<1%
Semyon Varlamov
<1%
Samuel Ersson
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Andrei Vasilevskiy at 49.9% implied probability for the Vezina Trophy, reflecting his league-leading 35 wins, second-best 2.33 GAA, and heavy 51-game workload anchoring the Lightning's 98-point pace for a top Atlantic seed. Ilya Sorokin trails closely at 40.8%, buoyed by topping goals saved above expected (29.7 GSAx) and high-danger save percentage (.878), plus seven shutouts, as highlighted in NHL EDGE analysis three days ago amid the Islanders' push for playoffs at 89 points. Scott Wedgewood's league-best .917 SV% and 2.18 GAA in 40 starts for Colorado draws niche support at 1.8%, but limited volume tempers his candidacy versus the frontrunners' endurance. With eight games remaining, recent form in wins and advanced metrics keeps the race tightly contested.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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