Trader consensus prices Andrei Vasilevskiy as the Vezina Trophy favorite at 52.1% implied probability, propelled by his NHL-leading 35 wins, best 2.32 GAA, and tied-top .912 save percentage across 51 starts, fueling Tampa Bay Lightning's elite Atlantic Division standing and .712 points percentage with him in net. Ilya Sorokin trails closely at 41.8%, backed by superior advanced metrics including league-leading goals saved above expected (29.7), .914 SV% among qualifiers, .878 high-danger SV%, and seven shutouts, propping up the playoff-bubble Islanders amid their wild card fight despite facing the most high-danger shots. Recent USA Today analysis (April 1) underscores the razor-thin duel, with Vasilevskiy's traditional dominance and team success—plus a post-injury 17-1-1 surge—edging sentiment over Sorokin's elite but volume-tested peripherals, especially after his seven-goal allowance versus Pittsburgh.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAndrei Vasilevskiy 52.4%
Ilya Sorokin 41.8%
Scott Wedgewood 1.9%
Jeremy Swayman 1.8%
$41,699 Vol.
$41,699 Vol.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
55%
Ilya Sorokin
42%
Scott Wedgewood
2%
Jeremy Swayman
2%
Filip Gustavsson
1%
John Gibson
<1%
Alex Nedeljkovic
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Anthony Stolarz
<1%
Spencer Knight
<1%
Pyotr Kochetkov
<1%
Arvid Soderblom
<1%
Philipp Grubauer
<1%
Vitek Vanecek
<1%
Eric Comrie
<1%
Calvin Pickard
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Petr Mrazek
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Karel Vejmelka
<1%
Lukas Dostal
<1%
Joseph Woll
<1%
Jake Allen
<1%
Casey DeSmith
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
<1%
Joonas Korpisalo
<1%
Jakub Dobes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Joel Hofer
<1%
Jonathan Quick
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Connor Ingram
<1%
Anton Forsberg
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Alexandar Georgiev
<1%
Jonas Johansson
<1%
Elvis Merzlikins
<1%
Charlie Lindgren
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Sam Montembeault
<1%
Alex Lyon
<1%
Joey Daccord
<1%
Tristan Jarry
<1%
Jet Greaves
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Cam Talbot
<1%
Justus Annunen
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Ilya Samsonov
<1%
David Rittich
<1%
Kevin Lankinen
<1%
Ivan Fedotov
<1%
Semyon Varlamov
<1%
Samuel Ersson
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy 52.4%
Ilya Sorokin 41.8%
Scott Wedgewood 1.9%
Jeremy Swayman 1.8%
$41,699 Vol.
$41,699 Vol.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
55%
Ilya Sorokin
42%
Scott Wedgewood
2%
Jeremy Swayman
2%
Filip Gustavsson
1%
John Gibson
<1%
Alex Nedeljkovic
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Anthony Stolarz
<1%
Spencer Knight
<1%
Pyotr Kochetkov
<1%
Arvid Soderblom
<1%
Philipp Grubauer
<1%
Vitek Vanecek
<1%
Eric Comrie
<1%
Calvin Pickard
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Petr Mrazek
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Karel Vejmelka
<1%
Lukas Dostal
<1%
Joseph Woll
<1%
Jake Allen
<1%
Casey DeSmith
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
<1%
Joonas Korpisalo
<1%
Jakub Dobes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Joel Hofer
<1%
Jonathan Quick
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Connor Ingram
<1%
Anton Forsberg
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Alexandar Georgiev
<1%
Jonas Johansson
<1%
Elvis Merzlikins
<1%
Charlie Lindgren
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Sam Montembeault
<1%
Alex Lyon
<1%
Joey Daccord
<1%
Tristan Jarry
<1%
Jet Greaves
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Cam Talbot
<1%
Justus Annunen
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Ilya Samsonov
<1%
David Rittich
<1%
Kevin Lankinen
<1%
Ivan Fedotov
<1%
Semyon Varlamov
<1%
Samuel Ersson
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Andrei Vasilevskiy as the Vezina Trophy favorite at 52.1% implied probability, propelled by his NHL-leading 35 wins, best 2.32 GAA, and tied-top .912 save percentage across 51 starts, fueling Tampa Bay Lightning's elite Atlantic Division standing and .712 points percentage with him in net. Ilya Sorokin trails closely at 41.8%, backed by superior advanced metrics including league-leading goals saved above expected (29.7), .914 SV% among qualifiers, .878 high-danger SV%, and seven shutouts, propping up the playoff-bubble Islanders amid their wild card fight despite facing the most high-danger shots. Recent USA Today analysis (April 1) underscores the razor-thin duel, with Vasilevskiy's traditional dominance and team success—plus a post-injury 17-1-1 surge—edging sentiment over Sorokin's elite but volume-tested peripherals, especially after his seven-goal allowance versus Pittsburgh.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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