Zach Werenski's commanding 83.2% implied probability stems from his league-leading 62 points (12 goals, 50 assists) among defensemen in the 2024-25 NHL season, highlighted by a four-point outburst over the weekend that widened his gap over challengers. The Columbus Blue Jackets blueliner's offensive dominance from the point, paired with solid plus-18 rating, has traders viewing him as the Norris Trophy lock amid a career-best campaign fueled by top power-play usage. Cale Makar's 15.0% share reflects his elite two-way play and prior win, but a recent lower-body tweak and 12-point deficit temper expectations. Evan Bouchard's 3.2% nods to Edmonton Oilers' playoff push and his 55 points, while Quinn Hughes' injury recovery caps his 2.5% at 48 points for Vancouver Canucks. Recent injury reports and stat surges drive this consensus among skin-in-the-game traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedZach Werenski 85.1%
Cale Makar 15%
Evan Bouchard 3.1%
Quinn Hughes 2.5%
$113,097 Vol.
$113,097 Vol.
Zach Werenski
85%
Cale Makar
15%
Evan Bouchard
3%
Quinn Hughes
2%
Brady Skjei
2%
Aaron Ekblad
2%
Victor Hedman
2%
Alex Vlasic
1%
Lane Hutson
1%
Rasmus Dahlin
1%
Jaccob Slavin
1%
Owen Power
1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
1%
Colton Parayko
1%
Drew Doughty
1%
Travis Sanheim
1%
Cam Fowler
1%
Roman Josi
1%
Thomas Harley
1%
Devon Toews
1%
Jake Sanderson
1%
Ryker Evans
1%
Simon Edvinsson
<1%
Vince Dunn
<1%
Jackson LaCombe
<1%
MacKenzie Weegar
<1%
Darnell Nurse
<1%
Jakob Chychrun
<1%
Thomas Chabot
<1%
Mike Matheson
<1%
Philip Broberg
<1%
Noah Hanifin
<1%
Luke Hughes
<1%
Noah Dobson
<1%
Shea Theodore
<1%
Rasmus Andersson
<1%
Charlie McAvoy
<1%
Adam Larsson
<1%
Morgan Rielly
<1%
Neal Pionk
<1%
Brandt Clarke
<1%
Gustav Forsling
<1%
John Carlson
<1%
Jared Spurgeon
<1%
Dougie Hamilton
<1%
Jake Walman
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Sean Durzi
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Mattias Ekholm
<1%
Josh Morrissey
<1%
Esa Lindell
<1%
Justin Faulk
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Alex Pietrangelo
<1%
Dante Fabbro
<1%
Kris Letang
<1%
Mason Lohrei
<1%
Rasmus Sandin
<1%
Hampus Lindholm
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Bowen Byram
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Mikhail Sergachev
<1%
Moritz Seider
<1%
Brandon Montour
<1%
Brent Burns
<1%
Filip Hronek
<1%
Seth Jones
<1%
Zach Werenski 85.1%
Cale Makar 15%
Evan Bouchard 3.1%
Quinn Hughes 2.5%
$113,097 Vol.
$113,097 Vol.
Zach Werenski
85%
Cale Makar
15%
Evan Bouchard
3%
Quinn Hughes
2%
Brady Skjei
2%
Aaron Ekblad
2%
Victor Hedman
2%
Alex Vlasic
1%
Lane Hutson
1%
Rasmus Dahlin
1%
Jaccob Slavin
1%
Owen Power
1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
1%
Colton Parayko
1%
Drew Doughty
1%
Travis Sanheim
1%
Cam Fowler
1%
Roman Josi
1%
Thomas Harley
1%
Devon Toews
1%
Jake Sanderson
1%
Ryker Evans
1%
Simon Edvinsson
<1%
Vince Dunn
<1%
Jackson LaCombe
<1%
MacKenzie Weegar
<1%
Darnell Nurse
<1%
Jakob Chychrun
<1%
Thomas Chabot
<1%
Mike Matheson
<1%
Philip Broberg
<1%
Noah Hanifin
<1%
Luke Hughes
<1%
Noah Dobson
<1%
Shea Theodore
<1%
Rasmus Andersson
<1%
Charlie McAvoy
<1%
Adam Larsson
<1%
Morgan Rielly
<1%
Neal Pionk
<1%
Brandt Clarke
<1%
Gustav Forsling
<1%
John Carlson
<1%
Jared Spurgeon
<1%
Dougie Hamilton
<1%
Jake Walman
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Sean Durzi
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Mattias Ekholm
<1%
Josh Morrissey
<1%
Esa Lindell
<1%
Justin Faulk
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Alex Pietrangelo
<1%
Dante Fabbro
<1%
Kris Letang
<1%
Mason Lohrei
<1%
Rasmus Sandin
<1%
Hampus Lindholm
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Bowen Byram
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Mikhail Sergachev
<1%
Moritz Seider
<1%
Brandon Montour
<1%
Brent Burns
<1%
Filip Hronek
<1%
Seth Jones
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Zach Werenski's commanding 83.2% implied probability stems from his league-leading 62 points (12 goals, 50 assists) among defensemen in the 2024-25 NHL season, highlighted by a four-point outburst over the weekend that widened his gap over challengers. The Columbus Blue Jackets blueliner's offensive dominance from the point, paired with solid plus-18 rating, has traders viewing him as the Norris Trophy lock amid a career-best campaign fueled by top power-play usage. Cale Makar's 15.0% share reflects his elite two-way play and prior win, but a recent lower-body tweak and 12-point deficit temper expectations. Evan Bouchard's 3.2% nods to Edmonton Oilers' playoff push and his 55 points, while Quinn Hughes' injury recovery caps his 2.5% at 48 points for Vancouver Canucks. Recent injury reports and stat surges drive this consensus among skin-in-the-game traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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