Nathan MacKinnon leads trader consensus for the Hart Memorial Trophy at 48.5% implied probability, fueled by his milestone 50th goal this week—first player to reach it—and Colorado's league-leading points pace, bolstered by his NHL-best +65 on-ice goal differential and even-strength dominance (34G-80P). Nikita Kucherov trails closely at 38.4%, surging via a Gretzky-like March hot streak (44P in 20 games) to claim the Art Ross Trophy lead around 125 points, powering Tampa Bay's playoff push despite Lightning team depth concerns. Macklin Celebrini's 10.9% reflects his sophomore carry job for San Jose (51 more points than teammates, on Sharks record pace), though voters prioritize contenders on top teams; Connor McDavid lags at 5% amid Edmonton's middling standings despite elite scoring. With nine games left, injury reports and finish lines will decide.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNathan MacKinnon 49%
Nikita Kucherov 38.2%
Macklin Celebrini 10.8%
Connor McDavid 4.9%
$210,969 Vol.
$210,969 Vol.
Nathan MacKinnon
49%
Nikita Kucherov
38%
Macklin Celebrini
11%
Connor McDavid
5%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Jonathan Huberdeau
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Elias Lindholm
<1%
Jonathan Toews
<1%
Logan Stankoven
<1%
Trevor Zegras
<1%
Nikolaj Ehlers
<1%
Claude Giroux
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Matty Beniers
<1%
Ryan O'Reilly
<1%
Dylan Strome
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Evan Bouchard
<1%
Patrick Kane
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Zach Werenski
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Ilya Sorokin
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
John-Jason Peterka
<1%
Brayden Point
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Owen Tippett
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Alexander Ovechkin
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Ivan Demidov
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Evgeni Malkin
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Alexis Lafrenière
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
Lucas Raymond
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Mark Scheifele
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Matt Boldy
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
Nathan MacKinnon 49%
Nikita Kucherov 38.2%
Macklin Celebrini 10.8%
Connor McDavid 4.9%
$210,969 Vol.
$210,969 Vol.
Nathan MacKinnon
49%
Nikita Kucherov
38%
Macklin Celebrini
11%
Connor McDavid
5%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Jonathan Huberdeau
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Elias Lindholm
<1%
Jonathan Toews
<1%
Logan Stankoven
<1%
Trevor Zegras
<1%
Nikolaj Ehlers
<1%
Claude Giroux
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Matty Beniers
<1%
Ryan O'Reilly
<1%
Dylan Strome
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Evan Bouchard
<1%
Patrick Kane
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Zach Werenski
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Ilya Sorokin
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
John-Jason Peterka
<1%
Brayden Point
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Owen Tippett
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Alexander Ovechkin
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Ivan Demidov
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Evgeni Malkin
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Alexis Lafrenière
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
Lucas Raymond
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Mark Scheifele
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Matt Boldy
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nathan MacKinnon leads trader consensus for the Hart Memorial Trophy at 48.5% implied probability, fueled by his milestone 50th goal this week—first player to reach it—and Colorado's league-leading points pace, bolstered by his NHL-best +65 on-ice goal differential and even-strength dominance (34G-80P). Nikita Kucherov trails closely at 38.4%, surging via a Gretzky-like March hot streak (44P in 20 games) to claim the Art Ross Trophy lead around 125 points, powering Tampa Bay's playoff push despite Lightning team depth concerns. Macklin Celebrini's 10.9% reflects his sophomore carry job for San Jose (51 more points than teammates, on Sharks record pace), though voters prioritize contenders on top teams; Connor McDavid lags at 5% amid Edmonton's middling standings despite elite scoring. With nine games left, injury reports and finish lines will decide.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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