Next US strike on Syria on...?
$1,086,439 Vol.
December 20 <1%
December 21 <1%
December 22 <1%
December 23 <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 20
$73,557 Vol.
<1%
December 20
$73,557 Vol.
<1%
December 21
$86,335 Vol.
<1%
December 21
$86,335 Vol.
<1%
December 22
$28,770 Vol.
<1%
December 22
$28,770 Vol.
<1%
December 23
$69,487 Vol.
<1%
December 23
$69,487 Vol.
<1%
December 24
$158,684 Vol.
<1%
December 24
$158,684 Vol.
<1%
No US strike on Syria in 2025
$79,992 Vol.
<1%
No US strike on Syria in 2025
$79,992 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any official Syrian embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET).
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Dec 13, 2025, 9:25 PM UTC
Volume
$1,086,439End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Dec 13, 2025, 9:25 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$1,086,439 Vol.
Next US strike on Syria on...?
December 20 <1%
December 21 <1%
December 22 <1%
December 23 <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 20
$73,557 Vol.
<1%
December 21
$86,335 Vol.
<1%
December 22
$28,770 Vol.
<1%
December 23
$69,487 Vol.
<1%
December 24
$158,684 Vol.
<1%
No US strike on Syria in 2025
$79,992 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$1,086,439End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Dec 13, 2025, 9:25 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.