US strike on Syria by..?
$84,866 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 14
$44,001 Vol.
3%
December 14
$44,001 Vol.
3%
December 19
$22,073 Vol.
22%
December 19
$22,073 Vol.
22%
December 31
$18,792 Vol.
28%
December 31
$18,792 Vol.
28%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any official Syrian embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Dec 13, 2025, 8:39 PM UTC
Volume
$84,866End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Dec 13, 2025, 8:39 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...$84,866 Vol.
US strike on Syria by..?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 14
$44,001 Vol.
3%
December 19
$22,073 Vol.
22%
December 31
$18,792 Vol.
28%
About
Volume
$84,866End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Dec 13, 2025, 8:39 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.