Name: Next university to cancel/postpone graduation?
Start: 2024-05-01T22:15:26.407482Z
End: 2024-05-10T12:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Columbia University is the first among Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, and University of Wisconsin to either postpone or cancel any of its commencement ceremonies. If none of the listed universities have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. If any other listed university postpones or cancels first, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as such an announcement is made, provided it precedes any similar announcement from the other listed universities. 

Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Columbia

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harvard University is the first among Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, and University of Wisconsin to either postpone or cancel any of its commencement ceremonies. If none of the listed universities have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. If any other listed university postpones or cancels first, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as such an announcement is made, provided it precedes any similar announcement from the other listed universities. 

Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Harvard

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the University of California Los Angles is the first among Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, and University of Wisconsin to either postpone or cancel any of its commencement ceremonies. If none of the listed universities have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. If any other listed university postpones or cancels first, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as such an announcement is made, provided it precedes any similar announcement from the other listed universities. 

Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

UCLA

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yale University is the first among Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, and University of Wisconsin to either postpone or cancel any of its commencement ceremonies. If none of the listed universities have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. If any other listed university postpones or cancels first, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as such an announcement is made, provided it precedes any similar announcement from the other listed universities. 

Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Yale

This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York University is the first among Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, and University of Wisconsin to either postpone or cancel any of its commencement ceremonies. If none of the listed universities have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. If any other listed university postpones or cancels first, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as such an announcement is made, provided it precedes any similar announcement from the other listed universities. 

Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the University of Wisconsin is the frist among Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, and University of Wisconsin to either postpone or cancel any of its commencement ceremonies. If none of the listed universities have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. If any other listed university postpones or cancels first, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as such an announcement is made, provided it precedes any similar announcement from the other listed universities. 

Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wisconsin 

This market will resolve to "Yes" If none of Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, or University of Wisconsin have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

No cancelations of above

Next university to cancel/postpone graduation?  

This is a polymarket to predict which conference the team that wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship will be from.

If a team from the listed conference wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the College Football Playoff is canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA Football.

Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

This is a polymarket to predict if any NCAA Division I FBS football team will finish the 2025–26 season undefeated with a record of 15-0.

If at least one NCAA Division I FBS team officially finishes the season with a 15-0 record, this market will resolve to “Yes.” If no team does so, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the NCAA Division I FBS season or College Football Playoff are canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source will be the official NCAA and school athletics websites. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is no longer host of their respective show for any length of time between September 18, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of this person's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

If the owning network or its parent company announces the show that the listed person hosts is cancelled within timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the listed person or the owning network of the show that they host, however, a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Jimmy Fallon cancelled by December 31?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will South Carolina (Women’s) win the 2025–2026 SEC Regular Season?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season.

If the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LPL league organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Serie A after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by Serie A following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Pisa be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by the English Premier League following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill Belichick announces that he will resign from his position as head coach of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill football team, or otherwise ceases to be head coach for any length of time, by the end of the 2025 college football season (scheduled to conclude January 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to Yes, regardless of if or when he actually steps down.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill or official statements by Bill Belichick or his representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Belichick out by end of 2025 college football season?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the Big 10 or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the Big 10's official Men's Basketball results, as published on bigten.org or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Michigan win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA’s official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?

This market will resolve according to the national team that finishes in second place (loses in the final) in the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish in second place in the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the group stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be the ICC (https://www.icc-cricket.com/tournaments/mens-t20-world-cup-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will India finish second in the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by Ligue 1 following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Metz be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the Naismith College Player of the Year Award for the 2025-2026 Men’s NCAA division 1 basketball season.

If the listed player is not included as a semifinalist or finalist for the Naismith College Player of the Year Award, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no winner is announced by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the Naismith Awards organizers (https://naismithtrophy.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 Big East Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 Big East Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 Big East Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the Big East or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 Big East Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the Big East’s official Men's Basketball results, as published on bigeast.com or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?

This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Eastern Conference during the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Eastern Conference (e.g., elimination from the playoffs), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or the playoffs have not been completed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the listed division during the 2025-26 NHL regular season.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win its division (e.g., mathematical elimination before season end), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?

This market will resolve according to the listed team that is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Turkish Süper Lig.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Süper Lig title (e.g., mathematical elimination before the end of the season), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 Süper Lig season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Turkish Football Federation (https://www.tff.org/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 ACC Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 ACC Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 ACC Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the ACC or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 ACC Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the ACC’s official Men's Basketball results, as published on theacc.com or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Miami win the 2025-2026 ACC Men’s Basketball regular season championship?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the Round of 16 of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from finishing in the top 24 of the league phase), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) 2026 season playoffs.

If the 2026 LCK season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Western Conference during the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Western Conference (e.g., elimination from the playoffs), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or the playoffs have not been completed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins the 2026 College Football National Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the College Football National Championship based on the rules of the NCAA (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from NCAA Football, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Next university to cancel/postpone graduation?

Columbia
$2,401 Vol.
Yes

Harvard
$1,410 Vol.
No

UCLA
$1,080 Vol.
No

Yale
$1,005 Vol.
No

NYU
$1,174 Vol.
No

Wisconsin
$955 Vol.
No

No cancelations of above
$720 Vol.
No

Market Context

Next university to cancel/postpone graduation?

Rules

Next university to cancel/postpone graduation?

Market Context

Next university to cancel/postpone graduation?

About

Related

Next university to cancel/postpone graduation?

Columbia$2,401 Vol.Yescircle check

Harvard$1,410 Vol.Nocircle xmark

UCLA$1,080 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Yale$1,005 Vol.Nocircle xmark

NYU$1,174 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Wisconsin $955 Vol.Nocircle xmark

No cancelations of above$720 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Next university to cancel/postpone graduation?

Rules

Next university to cancel/postpone graduation?

Market Context

Next university to cancel/postpone graduation?

About

Related

Columbia
$2,401 Vol.
Yes

Harvard
$1,410 Vol.
No

UCLA
$1,080 Vol.
No

Yale
$1,005 Vol.
No

NYU
$1,174 Vol.
No

Wisconsin
$955 Vol.
No

No cancelations of above
$720 Vol.
No