Victor Wembanyama's league-leading 3.1 blocks per game, record third straight Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month award for March, and anchoring of the Spurs' top-3 defensive efficiency have solidified trader consensus at 93.4% implied probability for NBA Defensive Player of the Year. Recent surges, including 17 blocks over his last three games, underscore his rim protection dominance amid San Antonio's 58-18 record and MVP candidacy push. Chet Holmgren trails at 5.7% on Oklahoma City's No. 1 defense, but lacks Wembanyama's counting stats edge. Challenges include Wembanyama's injury management—he's played 62 games but can miss only one or two more of the final five to meet 65-game eligibility—or a voters' preference shift toward team defense anchors like Holmgren.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedVictor Wembanyama 93.4%
Chet Holmgren 5.5%
Ausar Thompson <1%
Rudy Gobert <1%
$2,135,201 Vol.
$2,135,201 Vol.
Victor Wembanyama
93%
Chet Holmgren
6%
Ausar Thompson
1%
Rudy Gobert
<1%
Evan Mobley
<1%
Amen Thompson
<1%
Dyson Daniels
<1%
Anthony Davis
<1%
Draymond Green
<1%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
<1%
Jalen Suggs
<1%
Luguentz Dort
<1%
Jonathan Isaac
<1%
Ivica Zubac
<1%
Alex Caruso
<1%
Zach Edey
<1%
Brook Lopez
<1%
Kris Dunn
<1%
Jalen Duren
<1%
Jarred Vanderbilt
<1%
Walker Kessler
<1%
Bilal Coulibaly
<1%
Kel'el Ware
<1%
Donovan Clingan
<1%
Joel Embiid
<1%
Jarrett Allen
<1%
Keon Ellis
<1%
Nicolas Claxton
<1%
Bam Adebayo
<1%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
<1%
Victor Wembanyama 93.4%
Chet Holmgren 5.5%
Ausar Thompson <1%
Rudy Gobert <1%
$2,135,201 Vol.
$2,135,201 Vol.
Victor Wembanyama
93%
Chet Holmgren
6%
Ausar Thompson
1%
Rudy Gobert
<1%
Evan Mobley
<1%
Amen Thompson
<1%
Dyson Daniels
<1%
Anthony Davis
<1%
Draymond Green
<1%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
<1%
Jalen Suggs
<1%
Luguentz Dort
<1%
Jonathan Isaac
<1%
Ivica Zubac
<1%
Alex Caruso
<1%
Zach Edey
<1%
Brook Lopez
<1%
Kris Dunn
<1%
Jalen Duren
<1%
Jarred Vanderbilt
<1%
Walker Kessler
<1%
Bilal Coulibaly
<1%
Kel'el Ware
<1%
Donovan Clingan
<1%
Joel Embiid
<1%
Jarrett Allen
<1%
Keon Ellis
<1%
Nicolas Claxton
<1%
Bam Adebayo
<1%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Defensive Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 1:25 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Defensive Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Victor Wembanyama's league-leading 3.1 blocks per game, record third straight Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month award for March, and anchoring of the Spurs' top-3 defensive efficiency have solidified trader consensus at 93.4% implied probability for NBA Defensive Player of the Year. Recent surges, including 17 blocks over his last three games, underscore his rim protection dominance amid San Antonio's 58-18 record and MVP candidacy push. Chet Holmgren trails at 5.7% on Oklahoma City's No. 1 defense, but lacks Wembanyama's counting stats edge. Challenges include Wembanyama's injury management—he's played 62 games but can miss only one or two more of the final five to meet 65-game eligibility—or a voters' preference shift toward team defense anchors like Holmgren.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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