Tyrese Maxey leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for NBA steals per game leader, driven by his league-second 2.1 SPG average through 12 games, boosted by aggressive on-ball defense and Philadelphia's fast pace forcing turnovers. Cason Wallace trails at 27% after surging to the top with 2.7 SPG, highlighted by four-steal performances in Oklahoma City's last three wins amid Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's offensive load. Kawhi Leonard's 16% share reflects his return from knee injury, averaging 1.9 SPG in eight games with elite perimeter disruption for the Clippers. Small sample sizes amplify volatility, with projections favoring Maxey's minutes and usage over Wallace's rookie sustainability and Leonard's health risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTyrese Maxey 52.7%
Cason Wallace 21%
Kawhi Leonard 16.0%
Ausar Thompson 6.8%
$404,351 Vol.
$404,351 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Tyrese Maxey
46%
Cason Wallace
26%
Kawhi Leonard
16%
Ausar Thompson
7%
Alex Caruso
5%
James Harden
3%
Dyson Daniels
3%
Mikal Bridges
2%
Jalen Suggs
2%
Herbert Jones
1%
Matisse Thybulle
1%
Jalen Williams
1%
Lonzo Ball
1%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
1%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
<1%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
<1%
Kris Dunn
<1%
Toumani Camara
<1%
Nikola Jokic
<1%
Luka Doncic
<1%
Keon Ellis
<1%
Josh Hart
<1%
De'Aaron Fox
<1%
OG Anunoby
<1%
Jaden McDaniels
<1%
Bam Adebayo
<1%
Anthony Davis
<1%
Andrew Nembhard
<1%
Amen Thompson
<1%
Draymond Green
<1%
Victor Wembanyama
<1%
Paul George
<1%
LaMelo Ball
<1%
Reed Sheppard
<1%
Anthony Edwards
<1%
T.J. McConnell
<1%
Scottie Barnes
<1%
Paolo Banchero
<1%
Luguentz Dort
<1%
Jordan Poole
<1%
Tari Eason
<1%
Jimmy Butler
<1%
Franz Wagner
<1%
Tyrese Maxey 52.7%
Cason Wallace 21%
Kawhi Leonard 16.0%
Ausar Thompson 6.8%
$404,351 Vol.
$404,351 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Tyrese Maxey
$4,115 Vol.
46%
Cason Wallace
$28,740 Vol.
26%
Kawhi Leonard
$4,120 Vol.
16%
Ausar Thompson
$10,554 Vol.
7%
Alex Caruso
$2,976 Vol.
5%
James Harden
$2,759 Vol.
3%
Dyson Daniels
$223,542 Vol.
3%
Mikal Bridges
$0 Vol.
2%
Jalen Suggs
$3,660 Vol.
2%
Herbert Jones
$0 Vol.
1%
Matisse Thybulle
$3,253 Vol.
1%
Jalen Williams
$12,624 Vol.
1%
Lonzo Ball
$5,530 Vol.
1%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
$16,706 Vol.
1%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
$25,088 Vol.
<1%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
$0 Vol.
<1%
Kris Dunn
$0 Vol.
<1%
Toumani Camara
$0 Vol.
<1%
Nikola Jokic
$33,914 Vol.
<1%
Luka Doncic
$0 Vol.
<1%
Keon Ellis
$0 Vol.
<1%
Josh Hart
$0 Vol.
<1%
De'Aaron Fox
$26,771 Vol.
<1%
OG Anunoby
$0 Vol.
<1%
Jaden McDaniels
$0 Vol.
<1%
Bam Adebayo
$0 Vol.
<1%
Anthony Davis
$0 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Nembhard
$0 Vol.
<1%
Amen Thompson
$0 Vol.
<1%
Draymond Green
$0 Vol.
<1%
Victor Wembanyama
$0 Vol.
<1%
Paul George
$0 Vol.
<1%
LaMelo Ball
$0 Vol.
<1%
Reed Sheppard
$0 Vol.
<1%
Anthony Edwards
$0 Vol.
<1%
T.J. McConnell
$0 Vol.
<1%
Scottie Barnes
$0 Vol.
<1%
Paolo Banchero
$0 Vol.
<1%
Luguentz Dort
$0 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Poole
$0 Vol.
<1%
Tari Eason
$0 Vol.
<1%
Jimmy Butler
$0 Vol.
<1%
Franz Wagner
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest steals per-game average of any qualified player.
In the event of a tie for the highest steals per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).Tyrese Maxey leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for NBA steals per game leader, driven by his league-second 2.1 SPG average through 12 games, boosted by aggressive on-ball defense and Philadelphia's fast pace forcing turnovers. Cason Wallace trails at 27% after surging to the top with 2.7 SPG, highlighted by four-steal performances in Oklahoma City's last three wins amid Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's offensive load. Kawhi Leonard's 16% share reflects his return from knee injury, averaging 1.9 SPG in eight games with elite perimeter disruption for the Clippers. Small sample sizes amplify volatility, with projections favoring Maxey's minutes and usage over Wallace's rookie sustainability and Leonard's health risks.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest steals per-game average of any qualified player.
In the event of a tie for the highest steals per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).
In the event of a tie for the highest steals per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 1:45 AM ET
Volume
$404,351End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Oct 22, 2025, 1:45 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.nba.com/statsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest steals per-game average of any qualified player.
In the event of a tie for the highest steals per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).Tyrese Maxey leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for NBA steals per game leader, driven by his league-second 2.1 SPG average through 12 games, boosted by aggressive on-ball defense and Philadelphia's fast pace forcing turnovers. Cason Wallace trails at 27% after surging to the top with 2.7 SPG, highlighted by four-steal performances in Oklahoma City's last three wins amid Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's offensive load. Kawhi Leonard's 16% share reflects his return from knee injury, averaging 1.9 SPG in eight games with elite perimeter disruption for the Clippers. Small sample sizes amplify volatility, with projections favoring Maxey's minutes and usage over Wallace's rookie sustainability and Leonard's health risks.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest steals per-game average of any qualified player.
In the event of a tie for the highest steals per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).
In the event of a tie for the highest steals per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).
Volume
$404,351End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Oct 22, 2025, 1:45 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.nba.com/statsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tyrese Maxey leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for NBA steals per game leader, driven by his league-second 2.1 SPG average through 12 games, boosted by aggressive on-ball defense and Philadelphia's fast pace forcing turnovers. Cason Wallace trails at 27% after surging to the top with 2.7 SPG, highlighted by four-steal performances in Oklahoma City's last three wins amid Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's offensive load. Kawhi Leonard's 16% share reflects his return from knee injury, averaging 1.9 SPG in eight games with elite perimeter disruption for the Clippers. Small sample sizes amplify volatility, with projections favoring Maxey's minutes and usage over Wallace's rookie sustainability and Leonard's health risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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